BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Real Noroeste
Match Timeline
Tombense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
51'
Real Noroeste
Real Noroeste

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Real Noroeste Win 0%
Draw 11.5%
Tombense Win 88.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Noroeste0.3
Tombense2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Noroeste Real Noroeste
WWDLW
1 GF / 4 GA
Tombense Tombense
WLDWL
4 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
0
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 2 matches
Tombense Tombense 2 matches
Real Noroeste Statistic Tombense
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
1 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 0
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tombense's more proactive style and Real Noroeste's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tombense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tombense having the stronger overall control. Tombense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 6 points while Real Noroeste sit 6 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Real Noroeste Analysis

Real Noroeste sit 6 with 0 points after 2 league matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 1:4 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tombense Analysis

Tombense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 6 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 4:0 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Diego Leandro (1 goals), J. Sousa Rocha Leandro (1 goals), Jupi (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Noroeste won 0 times, Tombense won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Real Noroeste's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
H2H summary: Real Noroeste wins 0, draws 2, Tombense wins 0
Last matches: Real Noroeste
14.06.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
1
L
Last matches: Tombense
27.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
1
0
W
H2H: Real Noroeste vs Tombense
23.05.26
H2H
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Noroeste
14.06.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
H2H at home: Real Noroeste
19.04.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
Last matches: Tombense
21.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
1
0
W
H2H away: Tombense
19.04.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D