SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Valencia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
17'
Éder Militão
Real Madrid
19'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
31'
K. Mbappe · Assist: A. Guler
Real Madrid
🟨
36'
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Real Madrid
44'
J. Bellingham · Assist: F. Valverde
Real Madrid
🔄
46'
A. Tchouameni ↔ E. Camavinga
Real Madrid
🔄
46'
A. Guler ↔ D. Ceballos
Real Madrid
🔄
46'
L. Beltran ↔ A. Almeida
Valencia
🔄
55'
D. Lopez ↔ E. Comert
Valencia
🔄
55'
T. Correia ↔ J. Vazquez
Valencia
🔄
55'
L. Rioja ↔ H. Duro
Valencia
🔄
68'
D. Huijsen ↔ R. Asencio
Real Madrid
🔄
79'
K. Mbappe ↔ Endrick
Real Madrid
🔄
79'
Vinicius Junior ↔ Rodrygo
Real Madrid
82'
A. Carreras
Real Madrid
🔄
87'
Pepelu ↔ J. Guerra
Valencia
🟨
88'
Javier Guerra
Valencia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Valencia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.97
Valencia1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
30 GF / 11 GA
Valencia Valencia
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.31
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
7
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
6
8.38
Shots on Goal
2.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 13 matches
Valencia Valencia 11 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Valencia
12 Wins 3
0 Draws 3
1 Losses 5
30 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 16
2.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
7 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 4
8.38 Shots On Goal 2.82
20.85 Total Shots 9.45
6.62 Corners 4.64
60.2% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 10 times, Valencia won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:15 from Real Madrid's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-3-3 / Valencia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 10, draws 2, Valencia wins 3
Stats
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Valencia Valencia
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 0
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
715 Total passes 381
647 Passes accurate 317
2.71 expected_goals 0.49
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Real Madrid
Formation
Valencia
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
F. Valverde
🎯
F. Valverde
Eder Militao
Eder Militao
D. Huijsen
D. Huijsen
A. Carreras
A. Carreras
A. Guler
🎯
A. Guler
A. Tchouameni
A. Tchouameni
J. Bellingham
J. Bellingham
F. Mastantuono
F. Mastantuono
K. Mbappe
⚽ 2
K. Mbappe
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior
J. Agirrezabala
J. Agirrezabala
T. Correia
T. Correia
C. Tarrega
C. Tarrega
J. Copete
J. Copete
J. Gaya
J. Gaya
D. Lopez
D. Lopez
B. Santamaria
B. Santamaria
Pepelu
Pepelu
L. Rioja
L. Rioja
A. Danjuma
A. Danjuma
L. Beltran
L. Beltran
Real Madrid 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
8
F. Valverde
🎯 44'
D
3
Eder Militao
D
24
D. Huijsen
↓ 68'
D
18
A. Carreras
⚽ 82'
D
15
A. Guler
🎯 31' ↓ 46'
M
14
A. Tchouameni
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
M
5
J. Bellingham
⚽ 44'
M
30
F. Mastantuono
F
10
K. Mbappe
⚽ 19' ⚽ 31' ↓ 79'
F
7
Vinicius Junior
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
26
Fran
G
43
S. Mestre
G
6
E. Camavinga
↑ 46'
M
9
Endrick
↑ 79'
F
11
Rodrygo
↑ 79'
F
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
16
G. Garcia
F
17
R. Asencio
↑ 68'
D
19
D. Ceballos
↑ 46'
M
20
F. Garcia
D
21
B. Diaz
M
23
F. Mendy
D
Valencia 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
J. Agirrezabala
G
12
T. Correia
↓ 55'
D
5
C. Tarrega
D
3
J. Copete
D
14
J. Gaya
D
16
D. Lopez
↓ 55'
M
22
B. Santamaria
M
18
Pepelu
↓ 87'
M
11
L. Rioja
↓ 55'
M
7
A. Danjuma
F
15
L. Beltran
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
13
C. Rivero
G
24
E. Comert
↑ 55'
D
26
Rubo
D
32
A. Panach
D
21
J. Vazquez
↑ 55'
D
8
J. Guerra
↑ 87' 🟨 88'
M
29
L. Nunez
M
10
A. Almeida
↑ 46'
M
9
H. Duro
↑ 55'
F
27
D. Otorbi
F
19
D. Raba
F
Last matches: Real Madrid
16.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
Last matches: Valencia
08.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Castellón
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Eldense
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
23.05.26
La
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
H2H: Real Madrid vs Valencia
08.02.26
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
2
W
01.11.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
2
L
03.01.25
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
2
W
02.03.24
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
2
2
D
11.11.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
5
1
W
21.05.23
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
0
L
02.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
11.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
1
W
19.09.21
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
2
W
14.02.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
08.11.20
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
4
1
L
18.06.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
3
0
W
08.01.20
H2H
Valencia
Real Madrid
1
3
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Real Madrid
01.11.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
2
L
11.11.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
5
1
W
02.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
11.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
18.06.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
3
0
W
Last matches: Valencia
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
01.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Valencia
Getafe
1
0
W
15.01.26
Cop
Valencia
Burgos
2
0
W
03.01.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
4
L
16.12.25
Cop
Valencia
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
13.12.25
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
04.12.25
Cop
Valencia
FC Cartagena
2
1
W
01.12.25
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
28.10.25
Cop
Valencia
Maracena
5
0
W
H2H away: Valencia
01.11.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
2
W
11.11.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
5
1
L
02.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
L
11.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
1
L
14.02.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
2
0
L
18.06.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Valencia
3
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2