08.09.2026 19:00
Bernabéu
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
K. Mbappe · Assist: B. Diaz
Real Madrid
23'
F. Valverde
Real Madrid
🟨
39'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Inter
🔄
46'
B. Pavard ↔ J. Stones
Inter
🔄
60'
H. Calhanoglu ↔ P. Zielinski
Inter
🔄
60'
N. Barella ↔ P. Sucic
Inter
🔄
60'
M. Thuram ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
77'
Carlos Augusto · Assist: L. Martinez
Inter
🟨
79'
Dean Huijsen
Real Madrid
🟨
79'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
🔄
79'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ A. Tchouameni
Real Madrid
🔄
79'
B. Diaz ↔ Y. Diomande
Real Madrid
🔄
83'
Carlos Augusto ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
87'
Vinicius Junior ↔ A. Carreras
Real Madrid
🟨
90+4'
Yann Bisseck
Inter
🔄
90+3'
K. Mbappe ↔ C. Espi
Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.1%
1.18
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.42
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 47.4%
Draw 9.9%
Inter Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.82
Inter1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
22 GF / 7 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
15 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
4
8.75
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 9 matches
Inter Inter 8 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Inter
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
22 Goals For 15
7 Goals Against 7
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
8.75 Shots On Goal 6.67
20 Total Shots 24.33
7.75 Corners 6.33
57% Ball Possession 66%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 4 times, Inter won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Real Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
Missing players: Real Madrid 8, Inter 2
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 4, draws 0, Inter wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25
Inter Away
1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)