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08.09.2026 19:00
Bernabéu
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
K. Mbappe · Assist: B. Diaz
Real Madrid
⚽
23'
F. Valverde
Real Madrid
🟨
39'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Inter
🔄
46'
B. Pavard ↔ J. Stones
Inter
🔄
60'
H. Calhanoglu ↔ P. Zielinski
Inter
🔄
60'
N. Barella ↔ P. Sucic
Inter
🔄
60'
M. Thuram ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
⚽
77'
Carlos Augusto · Assist: L. Martinez
Inter
🟨
79'
Dean Huijsen
Real Madrid
🟨
79'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
🔄
79'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ A. Tchouameni
Real Madrid
🔄
79'
B. Diaz ↔ Y. Diomande
Real Madrid
🔄
83'
Carlos Augusto ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
87'
Vinicius Junior ↔ A. Carreras
Real Madrid
🟨
90+4'
Yann Bisseck
Inter
🔄
90+3'
K. Mbappe ↔ C. Espi
Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 47.4%
Draw 9.9%
Inter Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.82
Inter1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
L W W W W
13 GF / 3 GA
Inter Inter
W W W W W
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
4
8.75
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 9 matches
Inter Inter 8 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Inter
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
22 Goals For 15
7 Goals Against 7
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
8.75 Shots On Goal 6.67
20 Total Shots 24.33
7.75 Corners 6.33
57% Ball Possession 66%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 4 times, Inter won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Real Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
Missing players: Real Madrid 8, Inter 2
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 4, draws 0, Inter wins 0

Standings

League Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 14:5 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 12:3 9 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 12:7 5 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 10:5 5 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 7:4 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 7:2 5 7
D W W
7 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
D W W
8 3 2 0 1 11:6 5 6
L W W
9 3 2 0 1 10:5 5 6
W L W
10 3 2 0 1 9:5 4 6
W L W
11 3 2 0 1 9:6 3 6
W W L
12 3 2 0 1 7:4 3 6
L W W
13 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
W L W
14 3 1 2 0 10:5 5 5
D D W
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
W L D
16 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
D W L
17 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W D
18 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
19 3 1 0 2 8:8 0 3
L W L
20
Inter Away
3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
W L L
21 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
L L W
22 3 1 0 2 5:7 -2 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L W L W L
26 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L W L
27 3 1 0 2 3:7 -4 3
L L W
28 3 1 0 2 4:9 -5 3
L W L W W
29 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L L W W D
30 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L W L
31 3 0 2 1 3:9 -6 2
D L D W D
32 3 0 1 2 4:7 -3 1
D L L
33 3 0 1 2 5:9 -4 1
L D L W D
34 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 4:10 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 1:13 -12 0
L L L W D
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