SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Referee: J. Munuera
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Johnny Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
33'
A. Lookman · Assist: G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
🟨
36'
Matteo Ruggeri
Atletico Madrid
🔄
46'
R. Le Normand ↔ J. M. Gimenez
Atletico Madrid
52'
Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
55'
F. Valverde
Real Madrid
🔄
57'
A. Griezmann ↔ A. Sorloth
Atletico Madrid
🔄
57'
J. Cardoso ↔ N. Gonzalez
Atletico Madrid
🔄
57'
A. Lookman ↔ N. Molina
Atletico Madrid
🟨
61'
Dávid Hancko
Atletico Madrid
🟨
63'
Thiago Pitarch
Real Madrid
🔄
64'
T. Pitarch ↔ K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
🔄
64'
D. Carvajal ↔ T. Alexander-Arnold
Real Madrid
66'
N. Molina · Assist: J. Alvarez
Atletico Madrid
🟨
68'
Marcos Llorente
Atletico Madrid
🔄
71'
G. Simeone ↔ A. Baena
Atletico Madrid
72'
Vinicius Junior · Assist: T. Alexander-Arnold
Real Madrid
🔄
74'
B. Diaz ↔ E. Camavinga
Real Madrid
🔄
74'
A. Guler ↔ J. Bellingham
Real Madrid
🟥
77'
Federico Valverde
Real Madrid
🔄
87'
Vinicius Junior ↔ A. Carreras
Real Madrid

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.82
Atletico Madrid1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
94 GF / 43 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
91 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
2.02
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
24
BTTS Yes
25
28
Over 2.5
27
6.83
Shots on Goal
5.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 42 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 45 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Atletico Madrid
31 Wins 27
3 Draws 8
8 Losses 10
94 Goals For 91
43 Goals Against 54
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 2.02
1.02 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
24 BTTS Yes 25
35 Over 1.5 36
28 Over 2.5 27
14 Over 3.5 18
15 Clean Sheets 15
4 Failed To Score 6
6.83 Shots On Goal 5.62
18.19 Total Shots 13.8
6.52 Corners 6.44
59% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 6 times, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:27 from Real Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-4-2 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Madrid 5, Atletico Madrid 4
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 6, draws 4, Atletico Madrid wins 5
Stats
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 1
2 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
559 Total passes 505
508 Passes accurate 451
2.41 expected_goals 1.00
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Real Madrid
Formation
Atletico Madrid
A. Lunin
A. Lunin
D. Carvajal
D. Carvajal
A. Rudiger
A. Rudiger
D. Huijsen
D. Huijsen
F. Garcia
F. Garcia
F. Valverde
F. Valverde
T. Pitarch
T. Pitarch
A. Tchouameni
A. Tchouameni
A. Guler
A. Guler
B. Diaz
B. Diaz
Vinicius Junior
⚽ 2
Vinicius Junior
J. Musso
J. Musso
M. Llorente
M. Llorente
R. Le Normand
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
M. Ruggeri
G. Simeone
🎯
G. Simeone
J. Cardoso
J. Cardoso
Koke
Koke
A. Lookman
A. Lookman
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
J. Alvarez
🎯
J. Alvarez
Real Madrid 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
A. Lunin
G
2
D. Carvajal
↓ 64'
D
22
A. Rudiger
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
20
F. Garcia
D
8
F. Valverde
⚽ 55' 🟥 77'
M
45
T. Pitarch
↓ 64' 🟨 63'
M
14
A. Tchouameni
M
15
A. Guler
↓ 74'
M
21
B. Diaz
↓ 74'
F
7
Vinicius Junior
⚽ 52' ⚽ 72' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
26
Fran
G
43
S. Mestre
G
4
D. Alaba
D
10
K. Mbappe
↑ 64'
F
6
E. Camavinga
↑ 74'
M
18
A. Carreras
↑ 87'
D
37
M. A. Moran
M
30
F. Mastantuono
F
27
D. Aguado
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
🎯 72' ↑ 64'
D
5
J. Bellingham
↑ 74'
M
16
G. Garcia
F
Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Musso
G
14
M. Llorente
🟨 68'
D
24
R. Le Normand
↓ 46'
D
17
D. Hancko
🟨 61'
D
3
M. Ruggeri
🟨 36'
D
20
G. Simeone
🎯 33' ↓ 71'
M
5
J. Cardoso
↓ 57' 🟨 27'
M
6
Koke
M
22
A. Lookman
⚽ 33' ↓ 57'
M
7
A. Griezmann
↓ 57'
F
19
J. Alvarez
🎯 66'
F
Substitutes
33
M. de Luis
G
31
S. Esquivel
G
9
A. Sorloth
↑ 57'
F
2
J. M. Gimenez
↑ 46'
D
23
N. Gonzalez
↑ 57'
F
16
N. Molina
⚽ 66' ↑ 57'
D
21
O. Vargas
M
15
C. Lenglet
D
10
A. Baena
↑ 71'
M
11
T. Almada
M
34
J. Diaz
M
Last matches: Real Madrid
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
22.03.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
08.01.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
2
W
27.09.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
5
2
L
12.03.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
0
L
04.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
18.01.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
4
2
L
10.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
3
W
24.09.23
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
3
1
L
25.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
26.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
18.09.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
2
W
08.05.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
0
L
Last matches: Real Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
01.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
H2H at home: Real Madrid
22.03.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
04.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
10.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
3
W
25.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
26.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
21.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
22.03.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
L
04.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2
1
L
08.02.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
10.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
3
L
25.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
26.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
1
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Real Madrid 5 missing
-
Eder Militao
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
F. Mendy
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
T. Courtois
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. Ceballos
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Rodrygo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Atletico Madrid 4 missing
-
J. Oblak
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Pubill
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
P. Barrios
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
R. Mendoza
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT