Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.82
Atletico Madrid1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
94 GF / 43 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
91 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
2.02
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
24
BTTS Yes
25
28
Over 2.5
27
6.83
Shots on Goal
5.62
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
42 matches
Atletico Madrid
45 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wins | 27 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 94 | Goals For | 91 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.02 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.83 | Shots On Goal | 5.62 |
| 18.19 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 6.52 | Corners | 6.44 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 6 times, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:27 from Real Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-4-2 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Madrid 5, Atletico Madrid 4
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 6, draws 4, Atletico Madrid wins 5
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2