Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.82
Atletico Madrid1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
94 GF / 43 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
91 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
2.02
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
24
BTTS Yes
25
28
Over 2.5
27
6.83
Shots on Goal
5.62
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
42 matches
Atletico Madrid
45 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wins | 27 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 94 | Goals For | 91 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.02 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.83 | Shots On Goal | 5.62 |
| 18.19 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 6.52 | Corners | 6.44 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 6 times, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:27 from Real Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-4-2 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Madrid 5, Atletico Madrid 4
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 6, draws 4, Atletico Madrid wins 5
Stats
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Shots on Goal
10
10
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Real Madrid
Formation
Atletico Madrid
A. Lunin
D. Carvajal
A. Rudiger
D. Huijsen
F. Garcia
F. Valverde
T. Pitarch
A. Tchouameni
A. Guler
B. Diaz
Vinicius Junior
J. Musso
M. Llorente
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
G. Simeone
J. Cardoso
Koke
A. Lookman
A. Griezmann
J. Alvarez
Real Madrid
4-4-2
Starting XI
13
A. Lunin
G
2
D. Carvajal
D
↓ 64'
22
A. Rudiger
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
20
F. Garcia
D
8
F. Valverde
M
⚽ 55'
🟥 77'
45
T. Pitarch
M
↓ 64'
🟨 63'
14
A. Tchouameni
M
15
A. Guler
M
↓ 74'
21
B. Diaz
F
↓ 74'
7
Vinicius Junior
F
⚽ 52'
⚽ 72'
↓ 87'
Substitutes
26
Fran
G
43
S. Mestre
G
4
D. Alaba
D
10
K. Mbappe
F
↑ 64'
6
E. Camavinga
M
↑ 74'
18
A. Carreras
D
↑ 87'
37
M. A. Moran
M
30
F. Mastantuono
F
27
D. Aguado
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
🎯 72'
↑ 64'
5
J. Bellingham
M
↑ 74'
16
G. Garcia
F
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Musso
G
14
M. Llorente
D
🟨 68'
24
R. Le Normand
D
↓ 46'
17
D. Hancko
D
🟨 61'
3
M. Ruggeri
D
🟨 36'
20
G. Simeone
M
🎯 33'
↓ 71'
5
J. Cardoso
M
↓ 57'
🟨 27'
6
Koke
M
22
A. Lookman
M
⚽ 33'
↓ 57'
7
A. Griezmann
F
↓ 57'
19
J. Alvarez
F
🎯 66'
Substitutes
33
M. de Luis
G
31
S. Esquivel
G
9
A. Sorloth
F
↑ 57'
2
J. M. Gimenez
D
↑ 46'
23
N. Gonzalez
F
↑ 57'
16
N. Molina
D
⚽ 66'
↑ 57'
21
O. Vargas
M
15
C. Lenglet
D
10
A. Baena
M
↑ 71'
11
T. Almada
M
34
J. Diaz
M
Last matches: Real Madrid
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
22.03.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
08.01.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
2
W
27.09.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
5
2
L
12.03.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
0
L
04.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
18.01.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
4
2
L
10.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
3
W
24.09.23
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
3
1
L
25.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
26.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
18.09.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
2
W
08.05.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1
0
L
Last matches: Real Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
01.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
H2H at home: Real Madrid
22.03.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
04.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
10.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
3
W
25.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
26.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
21.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
22.03.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
L
04.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2
1
L
08.02.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
10.01.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5
3
L
25.02.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
26.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
1
L
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2
Missing Players
Real Madrid
5 missing
-
Eder Militao
OUT
Missing Fixture
Hamstring Injury
-
F. Mendy
OUT
Missing Fixture
Hamstring Injury
-
T. Courtois
OUT
Missing Fixture
Thigh Injury
-
D. Ceballos
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
Rodrygo
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
Atletico Madrid
4 missing
-
J. Oblak
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
M. Pubill
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
P. Barrios
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
R. Mendoza
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury