COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
12.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Real Cundinamarca
Match Timeline
Union Magdalena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
K. Cuellar
Real Cundinamarca
28'
R. Blanco
Union Magdalena
🟨
30'
R. Blanco
Union Magdalena
🟨
39'
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cundinamarca
61'
J. Amaya
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
63'
J. Cortes ↔ L. Obregon
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
63'
O. Acosta ↔ A. Cano
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
63'
C. Rios ↔ Y. Valencia
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
73'
K. Cuellar ↔ A. Estupinan
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
73'
J. Mercado ↔ J. Giraldo
Union Magdalena
🔄
73'
J. Congo ↔ K. Salazar
Union Magdalena
🔄
73'
C. Iguaran ↔ M. Cervantes
Union Magdalena
🔄
81'
O. Surmay ↔ J. Romero
Union Magdalena
🔄
84'
K. Vidal ↔ C. Gomez
Real Cundinamarca

Real Cundinamarca vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.76
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.5%
1.36
BTTS No
50.8%
1.76
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.52
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.09
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-0
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 45.8%
Draw 5.5%
Union Magdalena Win 48.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca1.06
Union Magdalena1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WWDLW
25 GF / 26 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WLDWL
38 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
12
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 22 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 28 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Union Magdalena
5 Wins 13
9 Draws 7
8 Losses 8
25 Goals For 38
26 Goals Against 26
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
12 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Real Cundinamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union Magdalena. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. Union Magdalena arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Union Magdalena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 45 points while Real Cundinamarca sit 12 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Cundinamarca are currently 12 in the standings with 21 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 23:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 45 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 36:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 1 times, Union Magdalena won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 1, draws 1, Union Magdalena wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)