COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio Municipal de Mosquera

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.81
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.76
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.3%
1.81
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.76
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 79.3%
Draw 10.4%
Real Santander Win 10.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca1.31
Real Santander0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
WLDWL
14 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
10
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 18 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 18 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Real Santander
3 Wins 1
8 Draws 6
7 Losses 11
18 Goals For 14
22 Goals Against 32
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Real Santander arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Santander. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Soacha sit 13 with 13 points after 15 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 14:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Santander Analysis

Real Santander approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 7 points from 15 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 9:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 4 times, Real Santander won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.6%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 4, draws 0, Real Santander wins 1
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Santander
06.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
2
2
D
31.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
1
5
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Bogota FC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Envigado
1
3
L
26.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Tigres FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Popayan
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
23.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Huila
2
1
W
20.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
H2H: Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander
14.02.26
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
2
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
3
4
W
29.07.24
H2H
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
W
10.02.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
4
2
W
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
0
W
20.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
17.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
0
W
07.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
1
D
19.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
3
1
W
08.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
3
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
1
D
26.07.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
2
0
W
H2H at home: Real Cundinamarca
26.07.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
2
0
W
10.02.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
4
2
W
Last matches: Real Santander
06.08.26
Pri
Real Santander
Depor FC
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cartagena
1
5
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Real Santander
Barranquilla
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pri
Real Santander
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Real Santander
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
26.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Patriotas
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Orsomarso
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Real Santander
Cucuta
1
2
L
25.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Leones FC
1
1
D
11.08.25
Pri
Real Santander
Jaguares
0
1
L
26.07.25
Pri
Real Santander
Real Cundinamarca
0
2
L
13.07.25
Pri
Real Santander
Tigres FC
0
2
L
18.05.25
Pri
Real Santander
Huila
0
0
D
06.05.25
Pri
Real Santander
Cucuta
1
2
L
27.04.25
Pri
Real Santander
Quindio
2
4
L
H2H away: Real Santander
26.07.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
2
0
L
10.02.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
4
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.06
Draw 3.57
Home 1.81
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.12
Over 3.0 2.54
Over 3.25 2.88
Under 1.5 3.26
Under 1.75 3.21
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.22
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.50
Home 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.10
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.00
Under 2.5 1.80
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.32
Draw 3.42
Home 1.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.06
Draw 2.09
Home 2.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.39
Draw 2.51
Home 2.09
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.30
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.43
Over 3.25 2.74
Over 3.5 3.04
Over 3.75 3.74
Over 4.0 5.05
Over 4.25 5.40
Over 4.5 5.75
Over 5.5 13.00
Under 0.5 9.20
Under 0.75 8.55
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 4.54
Under 1.5 3.34
Under 1.75 2.97
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.63
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.35
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.03
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 3.20
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.12
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.65
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 14 6 5 36:21 15 48
D W D W W
2 24 13 8 3 34:20 14 47
D D L D W
3 26 12 8 6 40:29 11 44
L D W D L
4 24 12 7 5 26:16 10 43
D D L L L
5 23 12 6 5 35:20 15 42
D L D D W
6 24 7 9 8 20:23 -3 30
L D W D L
7 23 7 6 10 28:29 -1 27
D L L D D
8 18 6 8 4 18:15 3 26
W D W D D
9 23 6 7 10 19:23 -4 25
D L D L L
10 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
D W L W W
11 17 5 6 6 14:17 -3 21
D W D L L
12 18 3 8 7 18:22 -4 17
W D L D L
13 18 3 8 7 17:23 -6 17
L D W L D
14 18 4 5 9 11:25 -14 17
W D W D W
15 18 1 8 9 16:29 -13 11
D D L L L
16 18 1 6 11 14:32 -18 9
D D L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)