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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
19.10.2026 23:00

Real Cartagena vs Patriotas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Cartagena Win 49.2%
Draw 20.2%
Patriotas Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cartagena1.45
Patriotas1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WWDLW
55 GF / 41 GA
Patriotas Patriotas
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
21
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 35 matches
Patriotas Patriotas 27 matches
Real Cartagena Statistic Patriotas
15 Wins 9
11 Draws 8
9 Losses 10
55 Goals For 30
41 Goals Against 34
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
21 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Patriotas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patriotas. Patriotas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patriotas having the stronger overall control.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 56 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 55:41 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Patriotas Analysis

With 35 points from 27 games and a place of 10, Patriotas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 30:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena won 1 times, Patriotas won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Real Cartagena's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
H2H summary: Real Cartagena wins 1, draws 2, Patriotas wins 4

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)