COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Real Cartagena
Match Timeline
Ind. Yumbo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Ind. Yumbo
Ind. Yumbo
37'
H. De Arco
Ind. Yumbo
38'
F. Pena
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
58'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
76'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
77'
Ind. Yumbo
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
90+2'
Ind. Yumbo
Ind. Yumbo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Cartagena Win 65.4%
Draw 4.1%
Ind. Yumbo Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cartagena1.31
Ind. Yumbo1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WWDLW
40 GF / 27 GA
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
16
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 25 matches
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo 17 matches
Real Cartagena Statistic Ind. Yumbo
12 Wins 5
8 Draws 8
5 Losses 4
40 Goals For 16
27 Goals Against 15
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
16 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 2
7 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Ind. Yumbo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ind. Yumbo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ind. Yumbo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Real Cartagena have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena sit 5 with 27 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 26:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Ind. Yumbo Analysis

Ind. Yumbo sit 9 with 19 points after 15 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 13:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena won 0 times, Ind. Yumbo won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Real Cartagena's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Real Cartagena wins 0, draws 1, Ind. Yumbo wins 1

Lineups

Real Cartagena
Formation
Ind. Yumbo
G. E. Gomez Tovar
G. E. Gomez Tovar
C. Paternina
C. Paternina
G. Tegue
G. Tegue
M. Balanta
M. Balanta
C. De Las Salas
C. De Las Salas
D. Pino
D. Pino
E. Lopez
E. Lopez
J. Barrera
J. Barrera
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
D. Castillo
D. Castillo
F. Montero
F. Montero
J. Mendez
J. Mendez
H. De Arco
H. De Arco
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
J. Lozano
J. Lozano
L. Quinonez
L. Quinonez
T. Diaz
T. Diaz
J. Rubiano
J. Rubiano
J. Ordonez
J. Ordonez
F. Pena
F. Pena
W. Lopez
W. Lopez
L. Farias
L. Farias
Real Cartagena 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
G. E. Gomez Tovar
28
C. Paternina
24
G. Tegue
33
M. Balanta
25
C. De Las Salas
14
D. Pino
80
E. Lopez
7
J. Barrera
16
J. Pineda
99
D. Castillo
10
F. Montero
Substitutes
1
A. Montes
23
R. Lora
6
A. Escobar
21
J. Rodriguez
18
J. P. Gallego
20
L. Taffur
27
A. Melendez
13
J. Rios
9
M. Manotas
Ind. Yumbo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Mendez
16
H. De Arco
⚽ 37'
4
J. Rodriguez
2
J. Lozano
17
L. Quinonez
8
T. Diaz
20
J. Rubiano
14
J. Ordonez
25
F. Pena
⚽ 38'
26
W. Lopez
11
L. Farias
Substitutes
1
J. Tamara
3
D. Ferrer
15
J. Perdomo
7
H. Mena
24
B. Moya
18
M. Caicedo
6
H. Moreyra
Last matches: Real Cartagena
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
6
1
W
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
Last matches: Ind. Yumbo
24.08.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Santander
0
1
L
03.08.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Envigado
1
1
D
28.07.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Depor FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
07.04.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Popayan
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Patriotas
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Orsomarso
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
11.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Barranquilla
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Bogota FC
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Leones FC
2
0
W
24.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Santander
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Tigres FC
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Quindio
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Envigado
0
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Depor FC
1
1
D
H2H: Real Cartagena vs Ind. Yumbo
07.08.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
04.02.26
H2H
Ind. Yumbo
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Cartagena
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
2
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
W
20.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
12.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Cucuta
1
1
D
05.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
3
1
W
H2H at home: Real Cartagena
07.08.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
Last matches: Ind. Yumbo
24.08.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Real Santander
0
1
L
28.07.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Depor FC
2
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Popayan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Orsomarso
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Leones FC
2
0
W
16.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Tigres FC
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Quindio
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pri
Ind. Yumbo
Envigado
0
2
L
H2H away: Ind. Yumbo
07.08.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
W

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 48:30 18 50
W W L D W
2 25 14 8 3 35:20 15 50
W D D L D
3 27 14 6 7 37:24 13 48
L L D W D
4 25 13 7 5 27:16 11 46
W D D L L
5 24 12 6 6 35:21 14 42
L D L D D
6 26 8 9 9 22:26 -4 33
W L L D W
7 25 8 7 10 22:24 -2 31
W W D L D
8 25 7 7 11 30:32 -2 28
L D D L L
9 19 6 8 5 18:16 2 26
L W D W D
10 19 6 7 6 21:21 0 25
W D D W L
11 19 6 7 6 17:18 -1 25
W D D W D
12 20 3 9 8 19:25 -6 18
L D W D L
13 20 4 6 10 13:32 -19 18
L D W D W
14 19 3 8 8 18:25 -7 17
L L D W L
15 20 2 7 11 17:34 -17 13
W D D D L
16 19 1 8 10 16:31 -15 11
L D D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)