COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
20.08.2026 22:45
Real Cartagena
Match Timeline
Bogota FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
20'
J. Aleman
Real Cartagena
🟨
26'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
38'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
44'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
55'
E. Lopez
Real Cartagena
🔄
56'
Jaramillo ↔ C. Asprilla
Bogota FC
🔄
62'
J. Rodriguez ↔ F. Montero
Real Cartagena
🟨
65'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
68'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🔄
70'
K. Castro ↔ H. Sandoval Lasso
Bogota FC
🔄
73'
M. Manotas ↔ A. Escobar
Real Cartagena
🔄
73'
E. Lopez ↔ D. Pino
Real Cartagena
🔄
73'
J. Pineda ↔ J. Rios
Real Cartagena
🔄
78'
K. Aladesanmi ↔ N. Segura
Bogota FC
🔄
78'
D. Estupinan ↔ J. Arango
Bogota FC
🔄
81'
J. Aleman ↔ L. Taffur
Real Cartagena
🟨
84'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
90+5'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
90+7'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
90+7'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
90+7'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC

Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Cartagena Win 71.4%
Draw 4.9%
Bogota FC Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cartagena1.32
Bogota FC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WWDLW
40 GF / 29 GA
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 26 matches
Bogota FC Bogota FC 25 matches
Real Cartagena Statistic Bogota FC
12 Wins 7
8 Draws 9
6 Losses 9
40 Goals For 20
29 Goals Against 25
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bogota FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bogota FC having the stronger overall control. Real Cartagena have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Real Cartagena Analysis

With 27 points from 17 games and a place of 5, Real Cartagena still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 26:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 6 with 23 points after 15 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena won 9 times, Bogota FC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:8 from Real Cartagena's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Real Cartagena wins 9, draws 4, Bogota FC wins 2

Standings

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W W D D W
1 6 4 1 1 8:6 2 13
W W L W W
2 6 3 1 2 4:3 1 10
L L W W D
2 6 2 3 1 8:4 4 9
D D W L W
3 6 1 4 1 3:3 0 7
D W D D D
3 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
L D D W L
4 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D L L L L
4 6 0 3 3 3:8 -5 3
D L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)