COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Cartagena Win 71.4%
Draw 4.9%
Bogota FC Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cartagena1.36
Bogota FC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WWDLW
40 GF / 27 GA
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 25 matches
Bogota FC Bogota FC 24 matches
Real Cartagena Statistic Bogota FC
12 Wins 7
8 Draws 9
5 Losses 8
40 Goals For 20
27 Goals Against 24
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bogota FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bogota FC having the stronger overall control. Real Cartagena have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Real Cartagena Analysis

With 27 points from 17 games and a place of 5, Real Cartagena still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 26:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 6 with 23 points after 15 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena won 8 times, Bogota FC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:8 from Real Cartagena's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Real Cartagena wins 8, draws 4, Bogota FC wins 2
Last matches: Real Cartagena
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Soacha
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
03.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Tigres FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
2
3
L
Last matches: Bogota FC
02.08.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
21.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Santander
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Orsomarso
2
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Soacha
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Envigado
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Quindio
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Tigres FC
0
1
L
04.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Popayan
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Patriotas
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
H2H: Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC
18.05.26
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
W
02.05.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
09.02.26
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
1
W
21.07.25
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
3
W
09.02.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
5
0
W
13.08.24
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
1
W
23.02.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
3
0
W
21.08.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
3
3
D
03.03.23
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
W
08.10.22
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
1
0
L
19.03.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
20.10.21
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
22.03.21
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
13.10.20
H2H
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
1
0
L
03.10.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Cartagena
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
2
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Soacha
1
0
W
20.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
12.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Soacha
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Cucuta
1
1
D
05.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
3
1
W
07.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
H2H at home: Real Cartagena
02.05.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
09.02.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
5
0
W
23.02.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
3
0
W
21.08.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
3
3
D
19.03.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
22.03.21
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
03.10.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Bogota FC
02.08.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
21.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Santander
2
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Envigado
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Patriotas
1
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Leones FC
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
09.01.26
Fri
Bogota FC
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Tigres FC
1
1
D
03.10.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Popayan
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Quindio
1
6
L
14.09.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Jaguares
0
2
L
31.08.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Patriotas
1
1
D
18.08.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Huila
0
1
L
04.08.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Santander
0
4
L
15.07.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Orsomarso
1
1
D
H2H away: Bogota FC
02.05.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
L
09.02.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
5
0
L
23.02.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
3
0
L
21.08.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
3
3
D
19.03.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
22.03.21
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
03.10.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
0
0
D