Reading
Match Timeline
Luton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Reading Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Reading1.23
Luton1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Reading
WWDLW
23 GF / 27 GA
Luton
WLDWL
30 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
13
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
4.05
Shots on Goal
3.64
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Reading
20 matches
Luton
22 matches
| Reading | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 30 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.05 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 11.85 | Total Shots | 11.64 |
| 4.2 | Corners | 6.41 |
| 47.7% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Reading won 5 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Reading's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Reading 4-2-3-1 / Luton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Reading wins 5, draws 3, Luton wins 4
Stats
Reading
Luton
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Reading
Formation
Luton
J. Pereira
A. Yiadom
P. O'Connor
D. Williams
J. R. Dorsett A.
L. Wing
C. Savage
R. Williams
K. Doyle
D. Kyerewaa
J. Marriott
J. Keeley
N. Lonwijk
T. Mengi
M. Andersen
K. Naismith
L. Walsh
L. Fanne
G. Kodua
J. Clark
C. Bramall
N. Wells
Reading
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pereira
G
17
A. Yiadom
D
↓ 86'
🟨 72'
15
P. O'Connor
D
33
D. Williams
D
🎯 78'
3
J. R. Dorsett A.
D
↓ 71'
10
L. Wing
M
⚽ 8'
8
C. Savage
M
21
R. Williams
M
🎯 52'
29
K. Doyle
M
↓ 86'
11
D. Kyerewaa
M
↓ 86'
7
J. Marriott
F
⚽ 52'
↓ 65'
Substitutes
25
J. Stevens
G
2
K. Abrefa
D
↑ 71'
6
L. Fraser
M
↑ 86'
9
K. Ehibhatiomhan
F
⚽ 78'
↑ 65'
🟨 90'
12
F. Burns
D
↑ 86'
19
A. Garcia
D
20
M. O'Mahony
F
↑ 86'
Luton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
17
N. Lonwijk
D
⚽ 76'
15
T. Mengi
D
5
M. Andersen
D
3
K. Naismith
D
↓ 45+1'
8
L. Walsh
M
↓ 86'
22
L. Fanne
M
↓ 86'
30
G. Kodua
M
18
J. Clark
M
⚽ 59'
↓ 64'
33
C. Bramall
M
21
N. Wells
F
↓ 64'
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
9
J. Yates
F
↑ 64'
14
S. Morris
F
↑ 45+1'
19
J. Brown
F
↑ 64'
🟨 77'
23
G. Saville
M
↑ 86'
28
C. Makosso
D
37
Z. Nelson
M
↑ 86'
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
H2H: Reading vs Luton
07.03.26
H2H
Luton
Reading
2
3
W
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
01.11.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
07.05.22
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
L
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
0
D
09.01.21
H2H
Luton
Reading
1
0
L
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
W
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
L
04.07.20
H2H
Luton
Reading
0
5
W
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
W
Last matches: Reading
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bolton
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Reading
Wycombe
3
2
W
27.01.26
Lea
Reading
Exeter City
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Reading
Barnsley
2
2
D
04.01.26
Lea
Reading
Stockport County
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Reading
Peterborough
1
2
L
22.11.25
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
06.11.25
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
1
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Reading
Carlisle
2
3
L
25.10.25
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
1
1
D
21.10.25
Lea
Reading
Northampton
1
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
H2H at home: Reading
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
L
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
W
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
L
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
W
Last matches: Luton
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Luton
Northampton
1
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
0
2
L
H2H away: Luton
18.12.25
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
2
L
19.04.23
H2H
Reading
Luton
1
1
D
19.01.22
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
2
W
26.12.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
2
1
L
15.09.20
H2H
Reading
Luton
0
1
W
09.11.19
H2H
Reading
Luton
3
0
L
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Reading
Home
|
46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two