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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
15.08.2026 11:30
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Referee: L. Doughty
Reading
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Jake Richards · Assist: Jordan Clark
Luton
⚽
8'
Jack Marriott
Reading
⚽
31'
Jack Marriott
Reading
⚽
38'
Jack Marriott · Assist: Kyreece Lisbie
Reading
⚽
50'
Kasey Palmer
Luton
⚽
52'
Kasey Palmer · Assist: Nahki Wells
Luton
🔄
61'
Emilio Lawrence ↔ Benedict Benagr
Luton
🔄
65'
Jack Marriott ↔ Jacob Brown
Reading
🔄
65'
Josh Stokes ↔ Randell Williams
Reading
🔄
70'
Nahki Wells ↔ Callum Marshall
Luton
🟨
72'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🔄
79'
Daniel Kyerewaa ↔ Paddy Lane
Reading
🔄
79'
Kyreece Lisbie ↔ Charlie Savage
Reading
🔄
81'
Isaiah Jones ↔ Harrison Ashby
Luton
🔄
81'
Kasey Palmer ↔ Gideon Kodua
Luton
🟨
90+5'
Paudie O’Connor
Reading
⚽
90+6'
Gideon Kodua · Assist: Jake Richards
Luton
🟨
90+7'
Gideon Kodua
Luton
🔄
90'
Andy Rinomhota ↔ Liam Fraser
Reading
🔄
90'
Hakeem Odofin ↔ Mads Andersen
Luton

Reading vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Reading Win 41.6%
Draw 4.1%
Luton Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Reading1.5
Luton1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Reading Reading
WWDLW
12 GF / 2 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.25
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
1
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Reading Reading 6 matches
Luton Luton 4 matches
Reading Statistic Luton
5 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
12 Goals For 9
2 Goals Against 3
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
1 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Reading won 5 times, Luton won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Reading's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Reading 4-2-3-1 / Luton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Reading wins 5, draws 3, Luton wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13
Luton Away
8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two