Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
56.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.3%
|
- |
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
RB Leipzig
30 matches
Union Berlin
30 matches
| RB Leipzig | Statistic | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 14 |
| 59 | Goals For | 34 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.93 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 15.87 | Total Shots | 12.43 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 5.07 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 39.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by RB Leipzig's more proactive style and Union Berlin's more cautious structure. RB Leipzig appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Union Berlin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with RB Leipzig expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Union Berlin in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Berlin having the stronger overall control. RB Leipzig come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. RB Leipzig arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 59 points compared to Union Berlin in 11 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union Berlin.
RB Leipzig come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 59 points after 30 matches. The return of 18 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 56:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Baumgartner (12 goals), Yan Diomande (12 goals), Romulo Cardoso (9 goals), with creative support from C. Baumgartner (7 assists), Yan Diomande (7 assists), D. Raum (6 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with V. Gebel, S. Sani, L. Zingerle unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Union Berlin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 30 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 33:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through I. Ansah (5 goals), O. Burke (5 goals), Rani Khedira (5 goals), with creative support from A. Ilic (8 assists), I. Ansah (2 assists), Derrick Köhn (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Raab, R. Skov, D. Preu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 7 times, Union Berlin won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
RB Leipzig
10
1
6
3
4
1
Lineups
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
Bayern München
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
Home
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Union Berlin
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|