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13.10.2026 19:00
Leipzig Red Bull Arena
Referee: Nick Walsh
RB Leipzig
Match Timeline
PSV Eindhoven
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Ruben van Bommel
PSV Eindhoven
⚽
19'
Ivan Perišić
PSV Eindhoven
🟨
43'
Sergiño Dest
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
61'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ T. Gomis
RB Leipzig
⚽
75'
B. Gruda
RB Leipzig
🔄
76'
B. Gruda ↔ R. Reitz
RB Leipzig
🔄
77'
L. Geertruida ↔ R. Flamingo
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
77'
F. Kostic ↔ Y. Gasiorowski
PSV Eindhoven
🟨
81'
Antonio Nusa
RB Leipzig
🔄
84'
R. van Bommel ↔ A. Santos
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
84'
S. Mijnans ↔ M. Bro Hansen
PSV Eindhoven
🟨
85'
Armando Obispo
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
86'
E. Banzuzi ↔ L. Klostermann
RB Leipzig
🔄
86'
R. Baku ↔ N. Seiwald
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 97.3%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.31
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
97.3%
1.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.31 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 47.7%
Draw 2.7%
PSV Eindhoven Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.82
PSV Eindhoven2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
25 GF / 18 GA
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WLDWL
42 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
3
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
11
6.5
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 12 matches
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 14 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic PSV Eindhoven
6 Wins 9
0 Draws 3
6 Losses 2
25 Goals For 42
18 Goals Against 20
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
5 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
6.5 Shots On Goal 7
18.17 Total Shots 19.22
5.83 Corners 6.67
54.3% Ball Possession 61.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.3%)
Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1 / PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
Missing players: RB Leipzig 5, PSV Eindhoven 8

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)