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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
05.12.2026 14:30
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Draw 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.63
FSV Mainz 052.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
26 GF / 18 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
54 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.86
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
5
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
12
6.43
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 13 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 14 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic FSV Mainz 05
7 Wins 10
0 Draws 2
6 Losses 2
26 Goals For 54
18 Goals Against 15
2 Avg Goals Scored 3.86
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
5 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 1
6.43 Shots On Goal 6
18.29 Total Shots 19.2
5.86 Corners 5.6
53% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 6 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 6, draws 3, FSV Mainz 05 wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:4 10 13
W D W W W
2 5 4 1 0 11:4 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 3 2 0 16:4 12 11
D W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
W W D W L
5 5 3 0 2 15:5 10 9
W L W L W
6 5 2 2 1 13:8 5 8
D L D W W
7 5 2 2 1 10:10 0 8
D W D W L
8 5 2 1 2 13:10 3 7
L W L W D
9 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
L D L W W
10 5 2 1 2 8:10 -2 7
W L D L W
11 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L W L
12 5 2 0 3 5:15 -10 6
W W L L L
13 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D W D L
14 5 1 2 2 9:16 -7 5
L D W L D
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
L W L L D
16 5 1 1 3 5:17 -12 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 9:13 -4 3
L L W L L
18 5 0 0 5 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
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