GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
31.01.2026 14:30
Red Bull Arena
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany
RB Leipzig
Match Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
B. Hollerbach ↔ Silas
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
38'
Stefan Bell
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
40'
C. Harder · Assist: A. Nusa
RB Leipzig
🟨
45+3'
Stefan Posch
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
45'
N. Amiri
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
49'
Silas · Assist: P. Tietz
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
59'
E. Bitshiabu ↔ E. Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
59'
R. Baku ↔ B. Henrichs
RB Leipzig
🔄
72'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ T. Gomis
RB Leipzig
🔄
72'
N. Amiri ↔ L. Maloney
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
82'
S. Widmer ↔ P. Mwene
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
82'
↔ P. Nebel
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
82'
P. Tietz ↔ N. Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
86'
N. Seiwald ↔ J. Bakayoko
RB Leipzig
🟨
90+6'
Nelson Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
90+3'
Kacper Potulski
FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Draw 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.73
FSV Mainz 051.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
37 GF / 25 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
5.79
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 19 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 27 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic FSV Mainz 05
11 Wins 8
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 12
37 Goals For 33
25 Goals Against 38
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
9 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 9
5.79 Shots On Goal 3.63
16.11 Total Shots 12.19
5.42 Corners 5.52
51.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 6 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-4-1-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 6, draws 3, FSV Mainz 05 wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
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Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation