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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
RB Leipzig
FT
1 - 2
FSV Mainz 05
Red Bull Arena
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany
RB Leipzig
Match Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
B. Hollerbach ↔ Silas
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
38'
Stefan Bell
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
40'
C. Harder · Assist: A. Nusa
RB Leipzig
🟨
45+3'
Stefan Posch
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
45'
N. Amiri
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
49'
Silas · Assist: P. Tietz
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
59'
E. Bitshiabu ↔ E. Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
59'
R. Baku ↔ B. Henrichs
RB Leipzig
🔄
72'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ T. Gomis
RB Leipzig
🔄
72'
N. Amiri ↔ L. Maloney
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
82'
S. Widmer ↔ P. Mwene
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
82'
↔ P. Nebel
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
82'
P. Tietz ↔ N. Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
86'
N. Seiwald ↔ J. Bakayoko
RB Leipzig
🟨
90+6'
Nelson Weiper
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
90+3'
Kacper Potulski
FSV Mainz 05

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Draw 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.73
FSV Mainz 051.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
37 GF / 25 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
5.79
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 19 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 27 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic FSV Mainz 05
11 Wins 8
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 12
37 Goals For 33
25 Goals Against 38
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
9 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 9
5.79 Shots On Goal 3.63
16.11 Total Shots 12.19
5.42 Corners 5.52
51.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 6 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-4-1-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 6, draws 3, FSV Mainz 05 wins 6
Stats
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 4
4 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 2
14 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
700 Total passes 300
604 Passes accurate 206
1.74 expected_goals 2.33
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

RB Leipzig
Formation
FSV Mainz 05
P. Gulacsi
P. Gulacsi
R. Baku
↓
R. Baku
W. Orban
W. Orban
E. Bitshiabu
↓
E. Bitshiabu
D. Raum
D. Raum
Y. Diomande
Y. Diomande
N. Seiwald
↓
N. Seiwald
X. Schlager
X. Schlager
A. Nusa
🎯
A. Nusa
Romulo Cardoso
↓
Romulo Cardoso
C. Harder
⚽
C. Harder
D. Batz
D. Batz
S. Posch
S. Posch
S. Bell
S. Bell
K. Potulski
K. Potulski
D. da Costa
D. da Costa
N. Amiri
⚽ ↓
N. Amiri
K. Sano
K. Sano
Lee Jae-Sung
Lee Jae-Sung
S. Widmer
↓
S. Widmer
B. Hollerbach
↓
B. Hollerbach
P. Tietz
🎯 ↓
P. Tietz
RB Leipzig 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
1
P. Gulacsi
G
17
R. Baku
↓ 59'
D
4
W. Orban
D
5
E. Bitshiabu
↓ 59'
D
22
D. Raum
D
49
Y. Diomande
M
13
N. Seiwald
↓ 86'
M
24
X. Schlager
M
7
A. Nusa
🎯 40'
M
40
Romulo Cardoso
↓ 72'
F
11
C. Harder
⚽ 40'
F
Substitutes
26
M. Vandevoordt
G
6
E. Banzuzi
↑ 59'
M
9
J. Bakayoko
↑ 86'
F
16
L. Klostermann
D
19
K. Nedeljkovic
D
27
T. Gomis
↑ 72'
F
33
A. Maksimovic
M
35
M. Finkgrafe
D
39
B. Henrichs
↑ 59'
D
FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
Starting XI
33
D. Batz
G
4
S. Posch
🟨 45+3'
D
16
S. Bell
🟨 38'
D
48
K. Potulski
🟨 90+3'
D
21
D. da Costa
M
10
N. Amiri
⚽ 45' ↓ 72'
M
6
K. Sano
M
7
Lee Jae-Sung
M
30
S. Widmer
↓ 82'
M
17
B. Hollerbach
↓ 14'
F
20
P. Tietz
🎯 49' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Riess
G
2
P. Mwene
↑ 82'
D
8
P. Nebel
↑ 82'
M
9
A. Nordin
F
15
L. Maloney
↑ 72'
M
26
Silas
⚽ 49' ↑ 14'
F
42
D. Gleiber
M
14
W. Boving
F
44
N. Weiper
↑ 82' 🟨 90+6'
F
Last matches: RB Leipzig
08.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Leeds
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Verl
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Altglienicke
2
1
W
29.05.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
4
L
09.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
4
L
24.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
20.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
5
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
01.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
15.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
27.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
08.08.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Paris FC
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Udinese
3
3
D
31.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Holstein Kiel
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Eisbachtal
10
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Pfeddersheim
11
0
W
16.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
12.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
2
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
22.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
H2H: RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05
31.01.26
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
13.09.25
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
0
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
19.10.24
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
0
2
W
30.03.24
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
L
08.10.22
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
4
1
W
15.08.21
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
1
0
L
23.01.21
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
3
2
L
20.09.20
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
W
24.05.20
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
0
5
W
02.11.19
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
8
0
W
03.05.19
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
3
3
D
Last matches: RB Leipzig
01.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Verl
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
09.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
24.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
0
W
20.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
5
0
W
07.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
15.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2
2
D
17.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
5
L
14.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2
0
W
20.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
3
L
06.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
6
0
W
23.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
01.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
3
1
W
18.10.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
20.09.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
30.08.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
H2H at home: RB Leipzig
31.01.26
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
01.03.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
30.03.24
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
01.04.23
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
L
08.01.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
4
1
W
20.09.20
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
W
02.11.19
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
8
0
W
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
01.08.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Udinese
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Eisbachtal
10
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Pfeddersheim
11
0
W
16.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
03.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
13.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
17.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
30.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
4
L
27.11.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
09.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
26.10.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
1
2
L
H2H away: FSV Mainz 05
31.01.26
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
W
01.03.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
W
30.03.24
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
01.04.23
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
W
08.01.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
4
1
L
20.09.20
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
L
02.11.19
H2H
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
8
0
L

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3
RB Leipzig Home
34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10
FSV Mainz 05 Away
34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13
Hamburger SV
34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14
1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation