GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
19.12.2026 14:30
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Draw 0%
Borussia Dortmund Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.48
Borussia Dortmund1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
4
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
8
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 8 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 8 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic Borussia Dortmund
4 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
13 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 10
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
8 Shots On Goal 4
22 Total Shots 12
7 Corners 4
59% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 7 times, Borussia Dortmund won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:24 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-3-3 / Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 7, draws 2, Borussia Dortmund wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 7:5 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:0 5 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 5:1 4 4
D W
7 2 1 0 1 6:3 3 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 5:6 -1 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 4:5 -1 3
W L
11 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
L W
12 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
L D
13 2 0 1 1 4:7 -3 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
L D
16 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation