GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
17.01.2026 17:30
Red Bull Arena
Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
RB Leipzig
Match Timeline
Bayern München
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
Romulo Cardoso · Assist: D. Raum
RB Leipzig
🟨
29'
Nicolas Seiwald
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
L. Goretzka ↔ J. Kimmich
Bayern München
⚽
50'
S. Gnabry · Assist: D. Upamecano
Bayern München
🔄
57'
L. Karl ↔ M. Olise
Bayern München
⚽
67'
H. Kane · Assist: M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
81'
N. Seiwald ↔ E. Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
81'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ C. Harder
RB Leipzig
🔄
81'
T. Bischof ↔ A. Davies
Bayern München
⚽
82'
J. Tah · Assist: M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
85'
C. Baumgartner ↔ T. Gomis
RB Leipzig
⚽
85'
A. Pavlovic · Assist: M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
87'
H. Ito ↔ Kim Min-Jae
Bayern München
🔄
87'
S. Gnabry ↔ J. Musiala
Bayern München
⚽
88'
M. Olise · Assist: J. Musiala
Bayern München
🔄
90'
A. Nusa ↔ A. Maksimovic
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig vs Bayern München Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bayern München Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.55
Bayern München2.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
32 GF / 19 GA
Bayern München Bayern München
WLDWL
86 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.58
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
7
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
24
5.81
Shots on Goal
8.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 16 matches
Bayern München Bayern München 24 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic Bayern München
10 Wins 21
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
32 Goals For 86
19 Goals Against 21
2 Avg Goals Scored 3.58
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
7 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 24
9 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 18
8 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 0
5.81 Shots On Goal 8.29
16.63 Total Shots 19
5.94 Corners 5.38
51% Ball Possession 64.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 2 times, Bayern München won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:43 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-3-3 / Bayern München 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 2, draws 3, Bayern München wins 10

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation