VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
20.09.2026 20:00

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rayo Zuliano Win 49.1%
Draw 20%
Monagas SC Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Zuliano1.4
Monagas SC1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano
WWDLW
34 GF / 48 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
26 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 25 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 24 matches
Rayo Zuliano Statistic Monagas SC
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
13 Losses 13
34 Goals For 26
48 Goals Against 35
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
16 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rayo Zuliano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Monagas SC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Monagas SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rayo Zuliano Analysis

With 20 points from 21 games and a place of 11, Rayo Zuliano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 24:42 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monagas SC Analysis

Monagas SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 18 points from 21 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 23:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Zuliano won 3 times, Monagas SC won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Rayo Zuliano's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Rayo Zuliano 4-2-3-1 / Monagas SC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rayo Zuliano wins 3, draws 0, Monagas SC wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 24:9 15 28
W W W W W
2 11 7 2 2 24:14 10 23
W D L W W
3 11 5 4 2 15:9 6 19
W D L D D
4 11 5 3 3 12:8 4 18
D W W W L
5 11 4 5 2 14:12 2 17
L W D D D
6 11 5 1 5 21:16 5 16
L L L W D
7 11 4 4 3 12:12 0 16
D L W L D
8 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
D W W D D
9 11 4 2 5 12:13 -1 14
D W W L W
10 11 2 5 4 9:14 -5 11
D L L W D
11 11 3 2 6 17:23 -6 11
D W D L W
12 11 3 2 6 12:18 -6 11
D L W L L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L D L
14 11 1 2 8 6:20 -14 5
D L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)