VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: M. Rosales
Rayo Zuliano
Match Timeline
Estudiantes de Merida FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
J. Ochoa · Assist: C. Romero
Rayo Zuliano
25'
C. Romero · Assist: S. Orejuela
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
46'
M. Maldonado ↔ J. A. Montilla Maldonado
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
46'
G. Montes ↔ C. Caicedo
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
52'
D. Copete ↔ F. Chavez
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
56'
W. S. Ramirez Holguin
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
58'
A. Montero ↔ A. Pena
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
59'
J. Lobo ↔ R. Chacon
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
62'
C. Romero
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
62'
H. Acosta
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟥
63'
R. Chacon
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
63'
S. Orejuela
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
66'
D. A. Vasquez Ferrer ↔ J. D. Churi Leon
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
66'
C. Romero ↔ L. Dugarte
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
67'
F. Chavez
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
73'
L. Dugarte
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
80'
J. Ochoa ↔ J. Arias
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
81'
A. Kinsler ↔ J. Julio
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
85'
H. Acosta ↔ J. Moreno
Estudiantes de Merida FC
90+2'
J. Gomez · Assist: J. Arias
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
90+3'
A. Jimenez
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
90+5'
F. Chavez
Rayo Zuliano
🟥
90+5'
F. Chavez
Rayo Zuliano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rayo Zuliano Win 48%
Draw 11.4%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Zuliano1.09
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano
WWDLW
14 GF / 26 GA
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 15 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 21 matches
Rayo Zuliano Statistic Estudiantes de Merida FC
4 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
9 Losses 10
14 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 28
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Estudiantes de Merida FC's more proactive style and Rayo Zuliano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estudiantes de Merida FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rayo Zuliano have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Estudiantes de Merida FC having the stronger overall control.

Rayo Zuliano Analysis

With 14 points from 13 games and a place of 11, Rayo Zuliano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 13:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 6 with 20 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Zuliano won 6 times, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Rayo Zuliano's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
H2H summary: Rayo Zuliano wins 6, draws 0, Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)