NORWAY 1. DIVISION
21.06.2026 14:00
NAMMO Stadion
Referee: J. Mertens
Raufoss
Match Timeline
Sogndal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
T. Engebakken
Raufoss
🟨
18'
E. Froysa
Raufoss
31'
E. Froysa · Assist: J. Sjol
Raufoss
34'
S. Pedersen · Assist: E. Flo
Sogndal
🟨
41'
D. de Ornelas de Conno
Raufoss
🔄
61'
E. Sildnes ↔ M. Aanesland
Raufoss
🔄
63'
M. Hoyland ↔ T. Pippola
Sogndal
🔄
71'
A. van der Spa ↔ M. Larsen
Raufoss
🔄
71'
N. Fremstad ↔ J. S. Selnaes
Raufoss
🔄
71'
R. Zekhnini ↔ E. Asvestad
Raufoss
🔄
73'
O. Helen ↔ P. Asp
Sogndal
🔄
74'
E. Flo ↔ V. Hagen
Sogndal
76'
A. Rogulj · Assist: E. Asvestad
Raufoss
🔄
85'
T. Engebakken ↔ F. F. Da Silva
Raufoss

Raufoss vs Sogndal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Raufoss Win 31.6%
Draw 24.9%
Sogndal Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raufoss1.76
Sogndal1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raufoss Raufoss
WWDLW
32 GF / 38 GA
Sogndal Sogndal
WLDWL
41 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
2
12
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raufoss Raufoss 20 matches
Sogndal Sogndal 21 matches
Raufoss Statistic Sogndal
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
9 Losses 8
32 Goals For 41
38 Goals Against 42
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2
12 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sogndal having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sogndal. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Raufoss Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Raufoss still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 12:21 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on A. Rogulj (2 goals), D. de Ornelas de Conno (2 goals), F. F. Da Silva (2 goals), with creative support from E. Sildnes (2 assists), D. de Ornelas de Conno (1 assists), F. F. Da Silva (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sogndal Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Sogndal have collected 12 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:22 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by S. Pedersen (5 goals), T. Pippola (4 goals), K. Skaanes (3 goals), with creative support from O. Hintsa (4 assists), K. Skaanes (3 assists), O. Helen (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Raufoss won 4 times, Sogndal won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:28 from Raufoss's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.1%)
H2H summary: Raufoss wins 4, draws 4, Sogndal wins 7

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
6 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
7 22 10 2 10 28:31 -3 32
W L L W W
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 22 5 5 12 34:48 -14 20
D D D L W
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
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Relegation