SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ibrox Stadium
Referee: M. MacDermid
Rangers
Match Timeline
Hibernian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
M. Boyle · Assist: J. Obita
Hibernian
🟨
39'
Warren O'Hora
Hibernian
41'
T. Aasgaard
Rangers
🔄
46'
D. Barlaser ↔ J. Newell
Hibernian
🟨
52'
Connor Barron
Rangers
🔄
63'
O. Antman ↔ B. Miovski
Rangers
🔄
69'
O. Elding ↔ A. Suto
Hibernian
🔄
69'
J. Campbell ↔ J. Mulligan
Hibernian
🔄
72'
T. Rommens ↔ M. Aarons
Rangers
🔄
73'
M. Diomande ↔ D. Gassama
Rangers
🟨
74'
Jordan Obita
Hibernian
🔄
78'
J. Obita ↔ N. Cadden
Hibernian
🔄
78'
M. Boyle ↔ D. Scarlett
Hibernian
🔄
80'
D. Sterling ↔ J. Meghoma
Rangers
🔄
80'
T. Aasgaard ↔ T. Chukwuani
Rangers
🟨
86'
Nasser Djiga
Rangers
89'
D. Scarlett · Assist: F. Passlack
Hibernian

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rangers Win 60%
Draw 12.6%
Hibernian Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rangers1.5
Hibernian1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rangers Rangers
WWDLW
83 GF / 65 GA
Hibernian Hibernian
WLDWL
66 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
30
BTTS Yes
24
29
Over 2.5
24
5.26
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rangers Rangers 50 matches
Hibernian Hibernian 42 matches
Rangers Statistic Hibernian
22 Wins 15
14 Draws 14
14 Losses 13
83 Goals For 66
65 Goals Against 53
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
30 BTTS Yes 24
41 Over 1.5 34
29 Over 2.5 24
16 Over 3.5 13
15 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 10
5.26 Shots On Goal 4.21
14.56 Total Shots 11.26
6.06 Corners 4.52
55.2% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hibernian. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rangers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Hibernian in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hibernian having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Rangers Analysis

Rangers sit 3 with 69 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 19 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 70:39, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Chermiti (12 goals), J. Tavernier (8 goals), B. Miovski (7 goals), with creative support from Nicolas Raskin (7 assists), Djeidi Gassama (5 assists), Chermiti (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 54 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 56:42 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. McGrath (8 goals), K. Bowie (8 goals), M. Boyle (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Mulligan (5 assists), N. Cadden (5 assists), J. McGrath (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rangers won 10 times, Hibernian won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:12 from Rangers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Rangers 4-2-3-1 / Hibernian 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Rangers wins 10, draws 3, Hibernian wins 2
Stats
Rangers Rangers
Hibernian Hibernian
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
15 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
597 Total passes 227
548 Passes accurate 171
1.45 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rangers
Formation
Hibernian
J. Butland
J. Butland
D. Sterling
D. Sterling
N. Djiga
N. Djiga
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
T. Rommens
T. Rommens
C. Barron
C. Barron
M. Diomande
M. Diomande
O. Antman
O. Antman
T. Aasgaard
T. Aasgaard
M. Moore
M. Moore
Chermiti
Chermiti
R. Sallinger
R. Sallinger
W. O'Hora
W. O'Hora
G. Hanley
G. Hanley
J. Iredale
J. Iredale
F. Passlack
🎯
F. Passlack
M. Chaiwa
M. Chaiwa
D. Barlaser
D. Barlaser
J. Obita
🎯
J. Obita
J. Campbell
J. Campbell
O. Elding
O. Elding
M. Boyle
M. Boyle
Rangers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Butland
G
21
D. Sterling
↓ 80'
D
24
N. Djiga
🟨 86'
D
37
E. Fernandez
D
25
T. Rommens
↓ 72'
D
8
C. Barron
🟨 52'
M
10
M. Diomande
↓ 73'
M
18
O. Antman
↓ 63'
M
11
T. Aasgaard
⚽ 41' ↓ 80'
M
47
M. Moore
M
9
Chermiti
F
Substitutes
31
L. Kelly
G
67
R. McGuire
G
5
J. Souttar
D
23
D. Gassama
↑ 73'
F
30
J. Meghoma
↑ 80'
D
28
B. Miovski
↑ 63'
F
3
M. Aarons
↑ 72'
D
7
A. Skov Olsen
F
42
T. Chukwuani
↑ 80'
M
Hibernian 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
R. Sallinger
G
5
W. O'Hora
🟨 39'
D
4
G. Hanley
D
15
J. Iredale
D
25
F. Passlack
🎯 89'
M
14
M. Chaiwa
M
22
D. Barlaser
↓ 46'
M
21
J. Obita
🎯 5' ↓ 78' 🟨 74'
M
32
J. Campbell
↓ 69'
F
47
O. Elding
↓ 69'
F
10
M. Boyle
⚽ 5' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Smith
G
11
J. Newell
↑ 46'
M
19
N. Cadden
↑ 78'
M
44
D. Scarlett
⚽ 89' ↑ 78'
F
77
A. Suto
↑ 69'
F
28
K. Andrews
M
12
C. Cadden
D
33
R. Bushiri
D
20
J. Mulligan
↑ 69'
M
Last matches: Rangers
22.07.26
Fri
Rangers
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
5
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
2
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
04.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
4
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
4
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
4
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Rangers
Ludogorets
1
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
Last matches: Hibernian
23.07.26
UEF
Hibernian
Malisheva
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Brondby
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Cliftonville FC
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee
3
3
D
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
1
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
1
1
D
H2H: Rangers vs Hibernian
13.05.26
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
L
01.02.26
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
0
0
D
15.12.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
29.10.25
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
0
1
W
20.09.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
2
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
2
2
D
05.04.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
0
2
L
05.01.25
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
3
3
D
29.09.24
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
30.03.24
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
3
1
W
10.03.24
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
0
2
W
24.01.24
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
0
3
W
21.10.23
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
4
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
1
3
W
08.03.23
H2H
Hibernian
Rangers
1
4
W
Last matches: Rangers
22.07.26
Fri
Rangers
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
4
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
4
2
W
04.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
25.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Rangers
Ludogorets
1
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
2
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
0
W
15.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Rangers
SC Braga
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Rangers
AS Roma
0
2
L
26.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
18.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
25.09.25
UEF
Rangers
Genk
0
1
L
H2H at home: Rangers
13.05.26
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
L
15.12.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
2
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
0
2
L
29.09.24
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
30.03.24
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
3
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
4
0
W
Last matches: Hibernian
23.07.26
UEF
Hibernian
Malisheva
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Cliftonville FC
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee
3
3
D
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
1
4
L
03.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
3
1
W
20.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
0
1
L
25.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
ST Mirren
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
2
2
D
H2H away: Hibernian
13.05.26
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
W
15.12.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
2
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
0
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
L
30.03.24
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
3
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Rangers
Hibernian
4
0
L

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round