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09.10.2026 18:30
Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow

Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Raków Częstochowa Win 28.4%
Draw 23.9%
GKS Katowice Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raków Częstochowa1.61
GKS Katowice1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
WWDLW
49 GF / 44 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
45 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.96
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
21
BTTS Yes
12
19
Over 2.5
16
3.87
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 27 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 23 matches
Raków Częstochowa Statistic GKS Katowice
9 Wins 13
6 Draws 1
12 Losses 9
49 Goals For 45
44 Goals Against 30
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
21 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 21
19 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 5
3.87 Shots On Goal 4
10.47 Total Shots 11.17
3.93 Corners 3.92
43.1% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around GKS Katowice's more proactive style and Raków Częstochowa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward GKS Katowice. Raków Częstochowa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. GKS Katowice carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 12 points while Raków Częstochowa sit 18 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Raków Częstochowa Analysis

Raków Częstochowa sit 18 with 3 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 12:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Makuch (5 goals), M. Emreli (2 goals), M. Bulat (1 goals), with creative support from V. Kochergin (2 assists), M. Emreli (1 assists), M. Bulat (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GKS Katowice Analysis

GKS Katowice sit 9 with 12 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Shkurin (6 goals), B. Nowak (2 goals), A. Jędrych (2 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (3 assists), Borja Galán (2 assists), I. Shkurin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 5 times, GKS Katowice won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.1%)
Predicted formations: Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Raków Częstochowa wins 5, draws 2, GKS Katowice wins 1

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation