SERBIA SUPER LIGA
22.04.2026 15:00
EFBET Stadion
Referee: S. Ostracanin
Radnik Surdulica
Match Timeline
Novi Pazar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Ivan Davidović
Novi Pazar
🔄
46'
Z. Alilovic ↔ S. Alic
Novi Pazar
🔄
46'
S. Togbe ↔ B. Omoregbe
Novi Pazar
🟨
49'
Sadick Abubakar
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
53'
Filip Bačkulja
Novi Pazar
63'
L. Zoric
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
68'
Driton Camaj
Novi Pazar
71'
B. Omoregbe
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
74'
B. Duronjic ↔ A. Urie
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
74'
V. Bogdanovic ↔ D. Markocevic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
76'
V. Kotzebue ↔ A. Rusevic
Novi Pazar
🔄
76'
D. Sadi ↔ M. Petkovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
76'
↔ L. Bijelovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
79'
M. Novakovic ↔ H. Hajdarevic
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
83'
E. Quarshie ↔ C. Kouadio
Radnik Surdulica
🔄
83'
L. Zoric ↔ A. Pejovic
Radnik Surdulica
🟨
88'
Aleksandar Pejović
Radnik Surdulica

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Radnik Surdulica Win 33.9%
Draw 12.1%
Novi Pazar Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Radnik Surdulica1.32
Novi Pazar1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica
WWDLW
39 GF / 37 GA
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WLDWL
41 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
16
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
15
4.03
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 31 matches
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 33 matches
Radnik Surdulica Statistic Novi Pazar
10 Wins 13
10 Draws 8
11 Losses 12
39 Goals For 41
37 Goals Against 47
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
16 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 7
4.03 Shots On Goal 4.36
12.1 Total Shots 12
4.42 Corners 4.27
46.5% Ball Possession 43.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Novi Pazar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Novi Pazar. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Radnik Surdulica Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Radnik Surdulica have collected 39 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 37:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Owusu Douglas (9 goals), Vukašin Bogdanović (7 goals), M. Novakovic (6 goals), with creative support from Mateja Gašić (4 assists), Aleksandar Pejović (3 assists), Haris Hajdarević (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Novi Pazar Analysis

With 47 points from 30 games and a place of 5, Novi Pazar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 38:37, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Stanisavljevic (8 goals), D. Camaj (6 goals), Dominic Sadi (4 goals), with creative support from I. Davidovic (4 assists), Dominic Sadi (3 assists), Matija Malekinušić (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Radnik Surdulica won 7 times, Novi Pazar won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Radnik Surdulica's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1 / Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Radnik Surdulica wins 7, draws 3, Novi Pazar wins 5

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification