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11.10.2026 19:00
Estadio El Sardinero
Referee: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain
Racing Santander
Match Timeline
Valencia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
D. Raba · Assist: J. De Haas
Valencia
🟨
22'
Pablo Ramón
Racing Santander
⚽
32'
Y. Zabiri · Assist: I. Vicente
Racing Santander
🟨
45+2'
Jorge Salinas
Racing Santander
🟨
45+4'
Dani Raba
Valencia
🟨
45+2'
Guido Rodríguez
Valencia
🔄
46'
M. Diakhaby ↔ A. Danjuma
Valencia
⚽
47'
I. Martin
Racing Santander
🔄
58'
D. Raba ↔ H. Elliott
Valencia
🔄
58'
F. Ugrinic ↔ D. Otorbi
Valencia
🔄
61'
P. Ramon ↔ A. Martin
Racing Santander
🔄
61'
A. Almeida ↔ A. Martin
Racing Santander
⚽
65'
D. Otorbi · Assist: J. Guerra
Valencia
🟨
72'
Pablo Maffeo
Valencia
🔄
75'
S. Canales ↔ P. Garcia
Racing Santander
🔄
85'
J. Guerra ↔ A. Dieng
Valencia
🔄
86'
P. Maffeo ↔ A. Martinez
Valencia
🔄
87'
M. Prati ↔ M. Gueye
Racing Santander
🔄
87'
Y. Zabiri ↔ A. Villalibre
Racing Santander
🟨
90+2'
Iván Martín
Racing Santander

Racing Santander vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Racing Santander Win 62.2%
Draw 4.6%
Valencia Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Santander1.44
Valencia1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Santander Racing Santander
L L W L W
9 GF / 18 GA
Valencia Valencia
L W L L L
4 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.93
2.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
8
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Santander Racing Santander 13 matches
Valencia Valencia 14 matches
Racing Santander Statistic Valencia
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
7 Losses 9
17 Goals For 13
32 Goals Against 23
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
2.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 2.71
10.29 Total Shots 10.57
4.29 Corners 4.43
48% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valencia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Santander expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Valencia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valencia having the stronger overall control.

Racing Santander Analysis

Racing Santander sit 16 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Zabiri (6 goals), Sergio Canales (1 goals), Andrés Martín (1 goals), with creative support from Iñigo Vicente (2 assists), Asier Villalibre (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valencia Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 19, Valencia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 4:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Aaron Mayol (1 goals), Umar Sadiq (1 goals), Luis Rioja (1 goals), with creative support from Javi Guerra (1 assists), Hugo Duro (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Racing Santander won 0 times, Valencia won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Racing Santander's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Racing Santander 4-2-3-1 / Valencia 4-4-2
Missing players: Racing Santander 1, Valencia 5
H2H summary: Racing Santander wins 0, draws 2, Valencia wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 40:11 29 27
L W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 20:8 12 25
W W W W W
3 10 8 0 2 25:10 15 24
W W W L W
4 10 6 2 2 16:14 2 20
D L W D W
5 10 6 1 3 19:18 1 19
W W W W L
6 10 5 2 3 16:16 0 17
W L D L W
7 10 3 3 4 14:11 3 12
D L L D L
8 9 3 3 3 12:9 3 12
W L D D
9 10 2 6 2 10:7 3 12
D W D W D
10 10 3 3 4 15:14 1 12
W D L W W
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
L D L D L
12 10 3 2 5 10:20 -10 11
L W L D L
13 10 3 2 5 15:26 -11 11
W L D L L
14 10 2 4 4 16:19 -3 10
L W D D L
15 10 2 4 4 14:17 -3 10
W D D W L
16 9 2 3 4 12:20 -8 9
L D D W
17 10 2 3 5 5:15 -10 9
L D L W L
18 10 2 2 6 12:14 -2 8
L L D L L
19 10 1 3 6 7:17 -10 6
L D D L W
20 10 0 5 5 7:19 -12 5
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2