Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.36
Progreso0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
32 GF / 11 GA
Progreso
WLDWL
15 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.55
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Racing Montevideo
20 matches
Progreso
19 matches
| Racing Montevideo | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 15 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 0.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 9 times, Progreso won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 3-5-1-1 / Progreso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 9, draws 2, Progreso wins 4
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
23.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
H2H: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
2
L
10.03.24
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
4
3
L
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
W
22.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
2
W
09.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
2
1
L
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
25.03.18
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
3
0
L
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
09.12.12
H2H
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
15.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
1
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
29.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
4
L
17.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
H2H at home: Racing Montevideo
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
W
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
W
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
H2H away: Progreso
26.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
L
21.09.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
L
17.03.19
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
3
0
L
09.09.18
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
L
02.06.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
2
0
L