26.03.2026 16:00
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Referee: A. M. Matonte Cabrera
Racing Montevideo
Match Timeline
Progreso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
R. Dudok
Racing Montevideo
🔄
24'
A. Vazquez ↔ E. De Los Santos
Racing Montevideo
🟨
29'
Ramiro Brazionis
Racing Montevideo
🟨
30'
Juan Rivero
Progreso
🟨
34'
Bautista Tomatis
Racing Montevideo
🔄
46'
Y. Oyarzo ↔ M. Ferreira
Racing Montevideo
🔄
46'
M. Paolini ↔ N. Lopez
Progreso
🔄
46'
J. Rivero ↔ F. De Leon
Progreso
🟨
48'
Guillermo Cotugno
Racing Montevideo
⚽
53'
F. De Leon
Progreso
🔄
55'
G. Cotugno ↔ F. Gonzalez
Racing Montevideo
🔄
55'
B. Tomatis ↔ S. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟨
60'
Facundo González
Racing Montevideo
🔄
60'
A. Paz ↔ N. Fernandez
Progreso
🟨
64'
Federico García
Progreso
🟨
70'
Andrés Mehring
Progreso
🔄
71'
M. Copelotti ↔ D. Sanchez
Progreso
🟨
73'
Mauro Martín
Progreso
🟨
76'
Tomas Habib
Racing Montevideo
🔄
79'
T. Habib ↔ E. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟥
82'
Agustin Pinheiro
Progreso
🔄
89'
↔ S. Cardozo Coitinho
Progreso
🟨
90+7'
Ayrton Cougo
Progreso
🟨
90'
Nicolas Fernandez
Progreso

Racing Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Racing Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Montevideo1.74
Progreso0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Progreso Progreso
WLDWL
5 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 7 matches
Progreso Progreso 7 matches
Racing Montevideo Statistic Progreso
5 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
13 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 11
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 9 times, Progreso won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 / Progreso 3-4-3
H2H summary: Racing Montevideo wins 9, draws 2, Progreso wins 4

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 5 6 48:24 24 58
W W W W L
2 30 16 7 7 46:27 19 55
W W L W L
3 29 16 5 8 51:34 17 53
L W W W W
4 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
L D W L W
5 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
6 30 13 8 9 38:36 2 47
W D D L W
7 30 12 10 8 39:28 11 46
W D L W D
8 30 10 8 12 32:39 -7 38
L L D D L
9 30 9 9 12 35:39 -4 36
D W D D W
10 30 8 11 11 26:33 -7 35
W L W D L
11 30 9 7 14 38:40 -2 34
L L L L L
12 30 8 9 13 28:34 -6 33
L L D L D
13 30 9 6 15 23:43 -20 33
D L W W D
14 30 8 6 16 29:42 -13 30
L L L L D
15 30 8 4 18 25:43 -18 28
W W L W W
16 30 4 14 12 24:39 -15 26
L D D L L
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