Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.8%
|
2.06 | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
55.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
1.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
8.50 |
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Racing Montevideo
17 matches
Defensor Sporting
17 matches
| Racing Montevideo | Statistic | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 24 | Goals For | 14 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Defensor Sporting. Racing Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Defensor Sporting in 8 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Montevideo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Defensor Sporting in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Defensor Sporting having the stronger overall control.
Racing Montevideo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 31 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 23:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Habib (4 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), G. Cotugno (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Defensor Sporting are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Montenegro (6 goals), A. Machado (2 goals), F. Castro (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Montevideo won 2 times, Defensor Sporting won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:19 from Racing Montevideo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Lineups
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Miramar
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Montevideo
Home
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
Away
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|