ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Miguel Sancho

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Cordoba Win 56.3%
Draw 11.1%
San Miguel Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Cordoba1.01
San Miguel0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
San Miguel San Miguel
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 23 matches
San Miguel San Miguel 23 matches
Racing Cordoba Statistic San Miguel
7 Wins 5
6 Draws 11
10 Losses 7
22 Goals For 17
28 Goals Against 25
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
10 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Miguel. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Miguel having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Racing Cordoba Analysis

So far, Racing Cordoba have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 27 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 22:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Miguel Analysis

From their first 21 matches, San Miguel have collected 26 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:21 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Racing Cordoba won 2 times, San Miguel won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Racing Cordoba's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
H2H summary: Racing Cordoba wins 2, draws 1, San Miguel wins 2
Last matches: Racing Cordoba
02.08.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Almirante Brown
0
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
San Telmo
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Atletico Mitre
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Acassuso
3
2
W
05.07.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
San Telmo
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
All Boys
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Los Andes
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Central Norte
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Deportivo Moron
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Defensores De Belgrano
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
Last matches: San Miguel
02.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
05.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
06.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Atletico Mitre
0
4
L
09.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
30.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
All Boys
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Los Andes
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
H2H: Racing Cordoba vs San Miguel
21.03.26
H2H
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
1
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
San Miguel
Racing Cordoba
2
0
L
Last matches: Racing Cordoba
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
San Telmo
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Acassuso
3
2
W
14.06.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Chaco For Ever
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Central Norte
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Defensores De Belgrano
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Racing Cordoba
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
H2H at home: Racing Cordoba
13.04.25
H2H
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
1
0
W
Last matches: San Miguel
02.08.26
Pri
San Miguel
San Telmo
0
1
L
05.07.26
Pri
San Miguel
Central Norte
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Acassuso
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
San Miguel
Atletico Mitre
0
4
L
30.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
All Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
28.03.26
Pri
San Miguel
Colegiales
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
San Miguel
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
1
D
17.02.26
Cop
San Miguel
Aldosivi
0
3
L
12.12.23
Pri
San Miguel
Douglas Haig
0
0
D
20.11.23
Pri
San Miguel
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
05.11.23
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
16.10.23
Pri
San Miguel
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
30.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
18.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Argentino Quilmes
1
0
W
03.09.23
Pri
San Miguel
Deportivo Armenio
0
2
L
20.08.23
Pri
San Miguel
Ituzaingó
2
0
W
H2H away: San Miguel
13.04.25
H2H
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Racing Cordoba
San Miguel
1
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation