01.08.2026 23:30
Estadio Presidente Peron
Referee: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
Racing Club
Match Timeline
Tigre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
P. Martinez
Tigre
🟨
23'
Matías Kranevitter
Racing Club
26'
M. Garay
Tigre
🟨
28'
Nazareno Colombo
Racing Club
🟨
42'
Valentín Moreno
Tigre
VAR
45+1'
Ignacio Russo
Tigre
🔄
46'
A. Tello ↔ U. Ortegoza
Racing Club
🔄
46'
G. N. Martirena Torres ↔ E. Cannavo
Racing Club
🔄
46'
N. Colombo ↔ M. Di Cesare
Racing Club
51'
I. Russo · Assist: P. Martinez
Tigre
🔄
58'
M. Miljevic ↔ D. Vergara
Racing Club
65'
D. Vergara · Assist: M. Kranevitter
Racing Club
🔄
67'
P. Martinez ↔ E. Cabrera
Tigre
🔄
76'
L. Diaz ↔ E. Torres
Racing Club
🔄
82'
I. Russo ↔ A. Oviedo
Tigre
🔄
82'
J. Saralegui ↔ F. Alvarez
Tigre
🔄
86'
J. Elias ↔ G. Requena
Tigre
🔄
86'
J. Laso ↔ S. Gonzalez
Tigre
🟨
90'
Ignacio Rodríguez
Racing Club
🟨
90'
Alfio Oviedo
Tigre

Racing Club vs Tigre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.7%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Racing Club Win 67.7%
Draw 15.7%
Tigre Win 16.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Club1.06
Tigre0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Club Racing Club
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Tigre Tigre
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.05
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
11
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
4
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Club Racing Club 22 matches
Tigre Tigre 19 matches
Racing Club Statistic Tigre
9 Wins 5
7 Draws 8
6 Losses 6
26 Goals For 20
19 Goals Against 17
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
11 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 7
3.4 Shots On Goal 4.18
11.85 Total Shots 13.59
4.1 Corners 4.18
55.1% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tigre. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Club expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Tigre in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tigre having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Racing Club Analysis

Racing Club are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Matías Zaracho (3 goals), Santiago Sosa (1 goals), Matko Miljevic (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Solari (2 assists), Santiago Sosa (1 assists), Matko Miljevic (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Tigre Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Tigre have collected 20 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gonzalo Martínez (1 goals), David Romero (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Russo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Racing Club won 7 times, Tigre won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:19 from Racing Club's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Racing Club 4-3-1-2 / Tigre 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Club wins 7, draws 4, Tigre wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D L L L
10
Tigre Away
16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L L L W L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L D D L L
Knockout Phase