07.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
Referee: P. Echavarria
Racing Club
Match Timeline
Atletico Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
11'
Ignacio Galvan
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
13'
Diego Ulises·Ortegoza
Racing Club
14'
Leandro Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
24'
L. Godoy · Assist: N. Lamendola
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
28'
Leonel Di Plácido
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
31'
U. Ortegoza ↔ M. Zaracho
Racing Club
🔄
31'
M. Miljevic ↔ G. A. Lodico
Racing Club
🔄
46'
T. Conechny ↔ D. Vergara
Racing Club
🟨
67'
Matías Pérez
Racing Club
71'
L. Perez · Assist: M. Rojo
Racing Club
🔄
81'
L. Diaz ↔ A. Fernandez
Racing Club
🔄
81'
L. Diaz ↔ R. Ruiz
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
86'
N. Franco ↔ J. Fernandez
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
86'
R. Tesuri ↔ G. Compagnucci
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
88'
I. Galvan ↔ J. Infante
Atletico Tucuman
VAR
90+4'
Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
90+6'
↔ E. Torres
Racing Club
90'
R. Ruiz · Assist: G. Compagnucci
Atletico Tucuman

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds 4.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.6%
4.88
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.53
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.37
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Racing Club Win 39.3%
Draw 4.2%
Atletico Tucuman Win 56.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Club1.02
Atletico Tucuman1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Club Racing Club
WWDLW
31 GF / 29 GA
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
15
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
3.48
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Club Racing Club 28 matches
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 26 matches
Racing Club Statistic Atletico Tucuman
10 Wins 8
8 Draws 9
10 Losses 9
31 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 23
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 8
3.48 Shots On Goal 3.39
12.4 Total Shots 12.04
4.28 Corners 5.39
55.6% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Racing Club's more proactive style and Atletico Tucuman's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Tucuman. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Racing Club have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Club expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Tucuman in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Racing Club Analysis

Racing Club sit 8 with 21 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Matías Zaracho (3 goals), Santiago Sosa (1 goals), Matko Miljevic (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Solari (2 assists), Santiago Sosa (1 assists), Matko Miljevic (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Atletico Tucuman have collected 14 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Díaz (2 goals), Clever Ferreira (1 goals), Franco Nicola (1 goals), with creative support from Clever Ferreira (1 assists), Luis Ingolotti (1 assists), Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Racing Club won 5 times, Atletico Tucuman won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Racing Club's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Racing Club 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Racing Club wins 5, draws 2, Atletico Tucuman wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L D W
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase