COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
05.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Centenario
Quindio
Match Timeline
Real Santander
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Lloreda ↔ Javier Reina
Quindio
🔄
46'
J. Cordoba ↔ A. Alvarez
Quindio
🟨
48'
J. D. Guillen Sanchez
Real Santander
🔄
64'
A. Tello ↔ Y. Torres
Quindio
🔄
71'
A. Segura ↔ Rueda Juan
Real Santander
🔄
71'
J. Delgado ↔ D. Misatt
Real Santander
🔄
78'
J. Sandoval ↔ S. Roa
Quindio
🔄
78'
J. Viveros ↔ J. Ibarguen
Quindio
🔄
79'
B. Roman ↔ A. Ariza
Real Santander
🔄
79'
J. D. Guillen Sanchez ↔ J. Perez
Real Santander
🔄
84'
B. Moreno ↔ J. Ayala
Real Santander
🟨
87'
S. Roa
Quindio
🟨
90+3'
Quindio
Quindio

Quindio vs Real Santander Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.92
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.3%
1.57
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.92
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.94
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Quindio Win 83.3%
Draw 10.8%
Real Santander Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quindio1.34
Real Santander0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quindio Quindio
WWDLW
29 GF / 16 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
WLDWL
20 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
0.95
0.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quindio Quindio 26 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 21 matches
Quindio Statistic Real Santander
14 Wins 3
7 Draws 7
5 Losses 11
29 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 35
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
0.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
10 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 1
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Quindio's more proactive style and Real Santander's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Quindio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 46 points compared to Real Santander in 15 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Santander. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 46 points after 25 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Real Santander Analysis

Real Santander approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 13 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 17:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Quindio won 11 times, Real Santander won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:8 from Quindio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Quindio wins 11, draws 2, Real Santander wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)