COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
13.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Centenario
Quindio
Match Timeline
Patriotas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Javier Reina
Quindio
🟨
32'
L. Renteria
Patriotas
41'
J. Sanchez
Patriotas
🟨
60'
E. Zapata
Patriotas
🔄
61'
J. Viveros ↔ F. Mosquera
Quindio
🔄
61'
J. Lloreda ↔ J. Sandoval
Quindio
🔄
61'
F. Valencia ↔ A. Tello
Quindio
🔄
61'
Javier Reina ↔ J. Ibarguen
Quindio
61'
F. Torres
Patriotas
🟨
67'
J. Sanchez
Patriotas
🟨
69'
L. Rodrigo Moran
Quindio
🔄
72'
L. Renteria ↔ H. Angulo
Patriotas
🔄
72'
F. Torres ↔ F. Figueroa
Patriotas
🔄
72'
J. Sanchez ↔ J. Riuz
Patriotas
🟨
74'
A. Porras
Patriotas
🟨
77'
T. Molina
Patriotas
🔄
81'
M. Castano ↔ A. Alvarez
Quindio
🔄
87'
J. Campana ↔ D. Gomez
Patriotas
🔄
87'
K. Alvarez ↔ E. Arango
Patriotas
🟨
90+3'
F. Figueroa
Patriotas
🟨
90+3'
S. Orozco
Quindio
90'
S. Orozco
Quindio

Quindio vs Patriotas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quindio Win 80.1%
Draw 8%
Patriotas Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quindio1.1
Patriotas0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quindio Quindio
WWDLW
29 GF / 16 GA
Patriotas Patriotas
WLDWL
26 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
10
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quindio Quindio 28 matches
Patriotas Patriotas 22 matches
Quindio Statistic Patriotas
14 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
29 Goals For 26
16 Goals Against 26
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Quindio's more proactive style and Patriotas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Quindio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 49 points compared to Patriotas in 11 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Patriotas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patriotas having the stronger overall control.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 49 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 29:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Patriotas Analysis

Patriotas sit 11 with 25 points after 20 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Quindio won 2 times, Patriotas won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Quindio's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Quindio wins 2, draws 1, Patriotas wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
14 22 4 9 9 23:29 -6 21
W D L L L
15 23 4 7 12 14:37 -23 19
D L L L D
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)