COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
28.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Centenario

Quindio vs Bogota FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.5%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quindio Win 50.1%
Draw 22.4%
Bogota FC Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quindio1.04
Bogota FC0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quindio Quindio
WWDLW
31 GF / 21 GA
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
12
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quindio Quindio 30 matches
Bogota FC Bogota FC 31 matches
Quindio Statistic Bogota FC
14 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
7 Losses 12
31 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 33
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
12 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 1
15 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Quindio's more proactive style and Bogota FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bogota FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bogota FC having the stronger overall control. Quindio arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 51 points compared to Bogota FC in 10 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Bogota FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 51 points from 29 matches. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 30:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 10 with 34 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 23:30, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Quindio won 6 times, Bogota FC won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from Quindio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: Quindio wins 6, draws 8, Bogota FC wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 30 14 9 7 31:21 10 51
L L D D W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 30 9 10 11 25:31 -6 37
W D L L W
8 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
9 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
10 30 9 7 14 36:41 -5 34
L L L W W
11 24 7 9 8 30:28 2 30
W W W W L
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)