ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
15.08.2026 22:00
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
San Telmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
A. Spetale
Quilmes
11'
A. Spetale · Assist: U. Vera
Quilmes
🟨
13'
C. Nunez
San Telmo
🟨
18'
A. Bolivar
Quilmes
🟨
39'
R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
46'
C. Nunez ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🟨
64'
R. Uriburu
San Telmo
🔄
65'
R. Martinez ↔ N. Colazo
Quilmes
66'
U. Vera · Assist: A. Batista
Quilmes
🔄
69'
J. Porto ↔ F. Baez
San Telmo
🔄
69'
R. Uriburu ↔ R. Gamarra
San Telmo
🔄
70'
L. Pollacchi ↔ L. Britez
San Telmo
🔄
74'
A. Bolivar ↔ F. Yozwiak
Quilmes
🔄
74'
A. Lavezzi ↔ G. Vega
Quilmes
🔄
76'
N. Molina ↔ J. Zurbriggen
San Telmo
🔄
82'
U. Vera ↔ J. Novillo
Quilmes
🔄
82'
A. Spetale ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes

Quilmes vs San Telmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 79.7%
Draw 5.9%
San Telmo Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes1.02
San Telmo0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
24 GF / 21 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 24 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 23 matches
Quilmes Statistic San Telmo
7 Wins 5
8 Draws 8
9 Losses 10
24 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Quilmes's more proactive style and San Telmo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Telmo. San Telmo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes are currently 13 in the standings with 28 points from 23 matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 14 with 23 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:23, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 2 times, San Telmo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Quilmes's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 2, draws 0, San Telmo wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation