ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
San Telmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
A. Spetale
Quilmes
11'
A. Spetale · Assist: U. Vera
Quilmes
🟨
13'
C. Nunez
San Telmo
🟨
18'
A. Bolivar
Quilmes
🟨
39'
R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
46'
C. Nunez ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🟨
64'
R. Uriburu
San Telmo
🔄
65'
R. Martinez ↔ N. Colazo
Quilmes
66'
U. Vera · Assist: A. Batista
Quilmes
🔄
69'
J. Porto ↔ F. Baez
San Telmo
🔄
69'
R. Uriburu ↔ R. Gamarra
San Telmo
🔄
70'
L. Pollacchi ↔ L. Britez
San Telmo
🔄
74'
A. Bolivar ↔ F. Yozwiak
Quilmes
🔄
74'
A. Lavezzi ↔ G. Vega
Quilmes
🔄
76'
N. Molina ↔ J. Zurbriggen
San Telmo
🔄
82'
U. Vera ↔ J. Novillo
Quilmes
🔄
82'
A. Spetale ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 79.7%
Draw 5.9%
San Telmo Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes1.02
San Telmo0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
24 GF / 21 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 24 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 23 matches
Quilmes Statistic San Telmo
7 Wins 5
8 Draws 8
9 Losses 10
24 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Quilmes's more proactive style and San Telmo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Telmo. San Telmo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes are currently 13 in the standings with 28 points from 23 matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 14 with 23 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:23, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 2 times, San Telmo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Quilmes's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 2, draws 0, San Telmo wins 1

Lineups

Quilmes
Formation
San Telmo
G. Marinelli
G. Marinelli
A. Ortega
A. Ortega
L. Romeo
L. Romeo
A. Kippes
A. Kippes
A. Bindella
A. Bindella
R. Martinez
R. Martinez
A. Bolivar
A. Bolivar
U. Vera
🎯
U. Vera
A. Batista
🎯
A. Batista
A. Lavezzi
A. Lavezzi
A. Spetale
⚽ 2
A. Spetale
J. C. Enrico
J. C. Enrico
J. Motroni
J. Motroni
L. Pollacchi
L. Pollacchi
E. Diaz
E. Diaz
P. Romero
P. Romero
R. Uriburu
R. Uriburu
E. Britez
E. Britez
C. Nunez
C. Nunez
J. Porto
J. Porto
N. Molina
N. Molina
M. Batallini
M. Batallini
Quilmes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Marinelli
4
A. Ortega
2
L. Romeo
6
A. Kippes
3
A. Bindella
8
R. Martinez
↓ 65' 🟨 39'
5
A. Bolivar
↓ 74' 🟨 18'
11
U. Vera
⚽ 66' 🎯 11' ↓ 82'
10
A. Batista
🎯 66'
7
A. Lavezzi
↓ 74'
9
A. Spetale
⚽ 3' ⚽ 11' ↓ 82'
Substitutes
12
E. Glellel
13
J. Novillo
↑ 82'
14
S. Rodriguez
15
T. Ortega
16
F. Yozwiak
↑ 74'
17
N. Colazo
↑ 65'
18
G. Vega
↑ 74'
19
P. Bonacci
↑ 82'
20
J. Coronel
San Telmo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. C. Enrico
4
J. Motroni
2
L. Pollacchi
↓ 70'
6
E. Diaz
3
P. Romero
8
R. Uriburu
↓ 69' 🟨 64'
5
E. Britez
11
C. Nunez
↓ 46' 🟨 13'
7
J. Porto
↓ 69'
9
N. Molina
↓ 76'
10
M. Batallini
Substitutes
12
J. Rial
13
L. Britez
↑ 70'
14
J. Gonzalez
15
N. Ortiz
16
F. Baez
↑ 69'
17
R. Gamarra
↑ 69'
18
M. Salerno
19
I. Larthirigoyen
↑ 46'
20
J. Zurbriggen
↑ 76'
Last matches: Quilmes
23.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
1
1
D
05.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
3
D
26.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
20.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
3
L
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
Last matches: San Telmo
21.08.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Telmo
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
San Telmo
San Miguel
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Chaco For Ever
1
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Central Norte
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
All Boys
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Los Andes
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Godoy Cruz
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Quilmes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Colon Santa Fe
3
1
W
H2H: Quilmes vs San Telmo
15.08.26
H2H
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
29.03.26
H2H
San Telmo
Quilmes
0
3
W
19.06.22
H2H
San Telmo
Quilmes
3
2
L
Last matches: Quilmes
09.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
1
1
D
05.08.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Quilmes
15.08.26
H2H
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
Last matches: San Telmo
09.08.26
Pri
San Telmo
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
05.07.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
San Telmo
Central Norte
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Los Andes
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
San Miguel
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Chaco For Ever
2
2
D
26.01.21
Pri
San Telmo
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
19.01.21
Pri
San Telmo
JJ Urquiza
4
0
W
12.01.21
Pri
San Telmo
Villa San Carlos
4
2
W
04.01.21
Pri
San Telmo
Talleres Remedios
3
2
W
19.12.20
Pri
San Telmo
San Miguel
0
0
D
09.03.20
Pri
San Telmo
Sacachispas
0
1
L
23.02.20
Pri
San Telmo
Fénix
3
1
W
08.02.20
Pri
San Telmo
Talleres Remedios
1
1
D
25.01.20
Pri
San Telmo
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
H2H away: San Telmo
15.08.26
H2H
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation