ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
12.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
San Martin S.J.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
M. Osores
San Martin S.J.
🔄
46'
M. Osores ↔ E. Aguilera
San Martin S.J.
🟨
48'
D. A. Mercado Carrizo
San Martin S.J.
50'
A. Bindella
Quilmes
🔄
57'
N. Iachetti ↔ L. Ferreyra
San Martin S.J.
🔄
57'
F. Coronel ↔ S. Jaurena
San Martin S.J.
🟨
62'
S. Gonzalez
San Martin S.J.
🔄
68'
U. Vera ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🟨
73'
E. Aguilera
San Martin S.J.
🟨
75'
J. Yangali
Quilmes
🟨
76'
J. Novillo
Quilmes
🟨
76'
G. Acosta
San Martin S.J.
🔄
77'
S. Gonzalez ↔ G. Hachen
San Martin S.J.
🔄
83'
A. Spetale ↔ A. Kippes
Quilmes
🔄
83'
J. Yangali ↔ F. Yozwiak
Quilmes
🔄
88'
F. Nadalin ↔ N. Paz
San Martin S.J.
🔄
88'
A. Ortega ↔ M. Vallejos
Quilmes
🔄
88'
R. Martinez ↔ N. Colazo
Quilmes
🟥
90'
M. Cocca
San Martin S.J.
🟥
90+4'
F. Yozwiak
Quilmes

Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64%
1.67
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.47
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.45
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 36%
Draw 18.8%
San Martin S.J. Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes0.94
San Martin S.J.1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WLDWL
33 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
7
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 28 matches
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 29 matches
Quilmes Statistic San Martin S.J.
8 Wins 12
8 Draws 9
12 Losses 8
27 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 26
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
7 BTTS Yes 16
12 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Martin S.J.. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin S.J. having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Quilmes Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Quilmes have collected 32 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 27:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

San Martin S.J. sit 9 with 38 points after 26 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 28:24 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 2 times, San Martin S.J. won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Quilmes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 2, draws 0, San Martin S.J. wins 4

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation