ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
L. Galeano ↔ P. Ostachuk
Atlanta
🟨
41'
J. Puch
Atlanta
🔄
62'
B. Rivero ↔ A. Dramisino
Atlanta
🔄
62'
F. Bisanz ↔ F. Alvarez
Atlanta
🔄
69'
J. Coronel ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
71'
A. Quintana · Assist: I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
🟨
73'
R. Moreira
Atlanta
🔄
74'
J. Puch ↔ C. Bernardi
Atlanta
🔄
74'
R. Moreira ↔ F. Castro
Atlanta
🔄
75'
J. Yangali ↔ M. Fernandez
Quilmes
79'
A. Spetale · Assist: U. Vera
Quilmes
🔄
88'
U. Vera ↔ N. Colazo
Quilmes
🟨
90+5'
I. Rasso
Quilmes
🟨
90+5'
D. Arguello
Atlanta
90'
T. Ortega · Assist: A. Bolivar
Quilmes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.5%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 31.4%
Draw 13%
Atlanta Win 55.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes0.85
Atlanta1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
16 GF / 14 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
23 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
4
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 18 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 19 matches
Quilmes Statistic Atlanta
5 Wins 10
6 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
16 Goals For 23
14 Goals Against 15
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atlanta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 33 points while Quilmes sit 13 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atlanta.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes sit 13 with 21 points after 18 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 33 points after 18 outings. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 23:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 5 times, Atlanta won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Quilmes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 5, draws 2, Atlanta wins 4

Lineups

Quilmes
Formation
Atlanta
G. Marinelli
G. Marinelli
M. Vallejos
M. Vallejos
A. Kippes
A. Kippes
I. Rasso
I. Rasso
U. Vera
🎯
U. Vera
A. Bolivar
🎯
A. Bolivar
J. Yangali
J. Yangali
A. Batista
A. Batista
A. Spetale
A. Spetale
T. Ortega
T. Ortega
J. Coronel
J. Coronel
F. Rago
F. Rago
M. Garcia
M. Garcia
R. Moreira
R. Moreira
L. Galeano
L. Galeano
N. Previtali
N. Previtali
B. Rivero
B. Rivero
D. Arguello
D. Arguello
J. Puch
J. Puch
A. Quintana
A. Quintana
F. Bisanz
F. Bisanz
I. Rodriguez
🎯
I. Rodriguez
Quilmes 2-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Marinelli
G
4
M. Vallejos
D
6
A. Kippes
D
2
I. Rasso
🟨 90+5'
11
U. Vera
🎯 79' ↓ 88'
M
5
A. Bolivar
🎯 90'
M
8
J. Yangali
↓ 75'
M
10
A. Batista
M
9
A. Spetale
⚽ 79'
F
3
T. Ortega
⚽ 90'
7
J. Coronel
↓ 69'
Substitutes
12
E. Glellel
G
14
S. Luna
15
A. Ortega
13
L. Romeo
20
A. Lavezzi
↑ 69'
17
R. Martinez
16
F. Yozwiak
18
M. Fernandez
↑ 75'
19
N. Colazo
↑ 88'
D
Atlanta 3-3-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Rago
G
4
M. Garcia
D
2
R. Moreira
↓ 74' 🟨 73'
D
6
L. Galeano
↓ 27'
D
5
N. Previtali
M
8
B. Rivero
↓ 62'
M
3
D. Arguello
🟨 90+5'
10
J. Puch
↓ 74' 🟨 41'
M
9
A. Quintana
⚽ 71'
F
11
F. Bisanz
↓ 62'
7
I. Rodriguez
🎯 71'
Substitutes
12
L. Lopez Kaleniuk
G
13
P. Ostachuk
↑ 27'
D
14
G. Mendoza
15
R. Sosa
D
16
C. Bernardi
↑ 74'
M
17
A. Dramisino
↑ 62'
M
18
F. Alvarez
↑ 62'
M
19
G. Miranda
20
F. Castro
↑ 74'
Last matches: Quilmes
12.07.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Colegiales
1
3
L
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Agropecuario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Club Atlético Güemes
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Temperley
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
San Telmo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Almagro
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atlanta
0
1
L
Last matches: Atlanta
14.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Midland
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
2
L
17.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Patronato
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
0
W
H2H: Quilmes vs Atlanta
04.07.26
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
16.02.26
H2H
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
0
L
06.08.25
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
01.04.25
H2H
Atlanta
Quilmes
2
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
Atlanta
Quilmes
0
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
2
L
29.05.22
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
3
L
09.10.21
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
16.06.21
H2H
Atlanta
Quilmes
0
0
D
26.05.12
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
1
D
28.11.11
H2H
Atlanta
Quilmes
0
1
W
Last matches: Quilmes
13.06.26
Pri
Quilmes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Quilmes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Quilmes
Patronato
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Quilmes
Midland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Quilmes
04.07.26
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
06.08.25
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
2
L
29.05.22
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
3
L
09.10.21
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
W
26.05.12
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
1
D
Last matches: Atlanta
20.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Midland
2
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
0
1
L
11.05.19
Pri
Atlanta
Comunicaciones
1
0
W
27.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
JJ Urquiza
0
0
D
14.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
29.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
Fénix
2
0
W
18.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
San Telmo
1
1
D
09.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
CA Estudiantes
1
3
L
24.02.19
Pri
Atlanta
Flandria
2
2
D
12.02.19
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Riestra
1
2
L
02.02.19
Pri
Atlanta
San Miguel
1
1
D
26.01.19
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
2
2
D
11.12.18
Pri
Atlanta
Talleres Remedios
4
0
W
H2H away: Atlanta
04.07.26
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
L
06.08.25
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
2
W
29.05.22
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
3
W
09.10.21
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
2
1
L
26.05.12
H2H
Quilmes
Atlanta
1
1
D

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 5 4 32:22 10 38
D D W W W
2 20 11 3 6 25:15 10 36
W L L W W
3 20 8 9 3 17:11 6 33
W L D W D
4 20 7 10 3 19:17 2 31
D W D W W
5 20 8 6 6 21:15 6 30
W D D L L
6 20 7 8 5 19:15 4 29
W W D L D
7 20 8 4 8 27:21 6 28
W W D L L
8 20 7 6 7 15:16 -1 27
L L D D W
9 19 7 5 7 20:19 1 26
W L W L
10 19 6 7 6 17:17 0 25
L W D L W
11 20 6 7 7 19:21 -2 25
D W D L W
12 20 7 4 9 16:22 -6 25
L W W W D
13 20 6 6 8 18:16 2 24
L W L W D
14 20 6 5 9 18:20 -2 23
L L W W L
15 20 6 5 9 16:21 -5 23
D W D L L
16 20 4 10 6 13:17 -4 22
D L D D D
17 20 4 7 9 14:24 -10 19
D L L L D
18 20 5 4 11 18:34 -16 19
L L L L W
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation