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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
10.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Quilmes
Match Timeline
Agropecuario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
J. Vega
Agropecuario
🔄
21'
S. Gallucci ↔ N. Pereyra
Agropecuario
🔄
41'
U. Vera ↔ M. Fernandez
Quilmes
🔄
46'
N. Colazo ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🔄
46'
A. Ortega ↔ S. Rodriguez
Quilmes
🔄
58'
A. Spetale ↔ G. Vazquez
Quilmes
🟨
64'
A. Aguirre
Agropecuario
🔄
67'
D. Ruiz Diaz ↔ R. Castro
Agropecuario
🔄
72'
G. Vega ↔ R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
77'
T. Lecanda ↔ D. Actis
Agropecuario
🔄
77'
A. Gagliardi ↔ E. Aguirre
Agropecuario
🔄
77'
R. Mosqueira ↔ O. Belinetz
Agropecuario
🟥
78'
A. Bolivar
Quilmes

Quilmes vs Agropecuario Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
No
Probability 88%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.1%
1.83 ▥
BTTS No
88%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 79.1%
Draw 14.4%
Agropecuario Win 6.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes1.01
Agropecuario0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
Agropecuario Agropecuario
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
7
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 32 matches
Agropecuario Agropecuario 33 matches
Quilmes Statistic Agropecuario
10 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
13 Losses 14
30 Goals For 26
27 Goals Against 37
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
7 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 23
10 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 12
17 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Quilmes's more proactive style and Agropecuario's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Agropecuario having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Agropecuario.

Quilmes Analysis

So far, Quilmes have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 39 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, while the 30:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Agropecuario Analysis

Agropecuario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 37 points from 32 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 26:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 2 times, Agropecuario won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Quilmes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.5%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 2, draws 5, Agropecuario wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 33 16 11 6 40:27 13 59
W W L W D
3 33 18 4 11 39:30 9 58
W W W D W
4 33 15 10 8 50:42 8 55
D L D D W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 33 13 10 10 34:30 4 49
D L W L D
7 33 13 9 11 40:32 8 48
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 33 12 10 11 35:33 2 46
D L L W D
10 33 10 13 10 35:33 2 43
L W D L W
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 33 7 16 10 29:32 -3 37
W L W D D
16 33 9 9 15 24:32 -8 36
L L W D L
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 33 5 8 20 23:56 -33 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation