FRANCE LIGUE 3
26.09.2026 18:45
Stade Robert Diochon

Quevilly vs Amiens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quevilly Win 56.6%
Draw 10.4%
Amiens Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quevilly0.87
Amiens1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quevilly Quevilly
WWDLW
11 GF / 17 GA
Amiens Amiens
WLDWL
21 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quevilly Quevilly 12 matches
Amiens Amiens 15 matches
Quevilly Statistic Amiens
3 Wins 7
5 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
11 Goals For 21
17 Goals Against 12
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
7 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Amiens's more proactive style and Quevilly's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Amiens having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Amiens.

Quevilly Analysis

So far, Quevilly have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 8 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Amiens Analysis

So far, Amiens have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 8 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:2 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Quevilly won 4 times, Amiens won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Quevilly's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
H2H summary: Quevilly wins 4, draws 5, Amiens wins 3

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 13:2 11 17
W W D W W
2 7 4 3 0 10:6 4 15
W D D W D
3 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
W W D D W
4 7 3 3 1 13:11 2 12
D L D D W
5 7 4 0 3 12:7 5 12
L W W L W
6 7 3 2 2 8:2 6 11
W D W W L
7 7 2 5 0 8:3 5 11
D D W W D
8 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
D W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:9 -3 10
D W L W L
11 7 2 3 2 5:7 -2 9
D L D D W
12 7 2 3 2 6:8 -2 9
D W D W L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
D W W L L
14 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L D L W
15 7 1 2 4 7:12 -5 5
L L D D L
16 7 1 1 5 3:8 -5 4
L L D W L
17 7 1 1 5 4:12 -8 4
D L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation