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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
24.10.2026 14:00
Loftus Road

QPR vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 36.1%
Draw 7.1%
Swansea Win 56.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.5
Swansea1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
32 GF / 17 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
21 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
10
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
8
5.18
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 17 matches
Swansea Swansea 16 matches
QPR Statistic Swansea
9 Wins 9
6 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
32 Goals For 21
17 Goals Against 15
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
10 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 5
5.18 Shots On Goal 4.45
15.09 Total Shots 12.09
5.55 Corners 4
48.6% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with QPR expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Swansea in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Swansea having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Swansea. Swansea carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 23 points while QPR sit 5 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Swansea look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

QPR Analysis

QPR come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 17 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 15:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Smyth (3 goals), N. Madsen (2 goals), I. Chair (2 goals), with creative support from N. Madsen (1 assists), I. Chair (1 assists), H. Vale (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Swansea Analysis

Swansea approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 23 points after 10 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:7 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on M. Yeo (3 goals), A. Idah (3 goals), Z. Vipotnik (2 goals), with creative support from J. Tymon (2 assists), M. Widell (2 assists), Z. Vipotnik (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Swansea won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from QPR's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-3-3
H2H summary: QPR wins 5, draws 4, Swansea wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 16:8 8 23
L W W W W
2 11 6 4 1 30:12 18 22
W W D D W
3 11 6 4 1 22:16 6 22
D W W D D
4 11 5 5 1 20:11 9 20
W W W D W
5 11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
W W L L D
6 11 6 1 4 18:16 2 19
W L W W W
7 11 6 3 2 21:10 11 17
D W W L W
8 10 5 2 3 18:15 3 17
W L L W W
9
QPR Home
11 4 5 2 15:12 3 17
L W D D D
10 11 4 3 4 17:16 1 15
L W W D W
11 11 4 3 4 15:14 1 15
W L W L L
12 11 4 3 4 18:18 0 15
D L W D D
13 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W L D D
14 11 3 5 3 15:16 -1 14
W L D W L
15 11 4 2 5 15:18 -3 14
D W L W W
16 11 4 2 5 12:15 -3 14
L L D W L
17 11 3 5 3 10:15 -5 14
L D D L D
18 11 3 3 5 9:19 -10 12
D L L L W
19 11 2 5 4 18:17 1 11
D W L W L
20 11 3 2 6 10:19 -9 11
W L L L L
21 11 3 0 8 17:21 -4 9
L L L L L
22 11 1 5 5 16:21 -5 8
L D W D L
23 11 1 3 7 9:20 -11 6
L L D D L
24 11 1 1 9 9:24 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One