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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
QPR
FT
1 - 2
Millwall
Loftus Road
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
QPR
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
M. Luongo ↔ C. De Norre
Millwall
🟨
33'
Ryan Leonard
Millwall
⚽
36'
F. Azeez
Millwall
🟨
39'
Jake Cooper
Millwall
⚽
45'
M. Ivanovic
Millwall
🔄
54'
L. Morrison ↔ A. S. Mbengue
QPR
🔄
54'
H. Vale ↔ K. Dembele
QPR
🟨
55'
Rhys Norrington-Davies
QPR
🟨
56'
Thierno Ballo
Millwall
🟨
59'
Paul Smyth
QPR
🔄
61'
P. Smyth ↔ K. Saito
QPR
🔄
61'
M. Frey ↔ R. Burrell
QPR
🔄
72'
J. Varane ↔ K. Morgan
QPR
🔄
74'
T. Ballo ↔ A. Doughty
Millwall
🔄
75'
F. Azeez ↔ C. Neghli
Millwall
🔄
79'
↔ L. Cundle
Millwall
🔄
80'
M. Ivanovic ↔ M. Langstaff
Millwall
⚽
85'
R. Burrell · Assist: K. Saito
QPR
🟨
90+5'
Alfie Doughty
Millwall

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.4
Millwall1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
13 GF / 14 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
9 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 9 matches
Millwall Millwall 9 matches
QPR Statistic Millwall
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
13 Goals For 9
14 Goals Against 12
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.11
12.56 Total Shots 13.67
4.44 Corners 4.89
47.3% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Millwall won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from QPR's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: QPR wins 5, draws 4, Millwall wins 6
Stats
QPR QPR
Millwall Millwall
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
0
8 Corner Kicks 3
20 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 0
10 Blocked Shots 0
13 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
431 Total passes 330
326 Passes accurate 211
1.87 expected_goals 1.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Millwall
P. Nardi
P. Nardi
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
L. Morrison
↓
L. Morrison
S. Cook
S. Cook
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
H. Vale
↓
H. Vale
J. Varane
↓
J. Varane
N. Madsen
N. Madsen
P. Smyth
↓
P. Smyth
R. Kone
R. Kone
M. Frey
↓
M. Frey
M. Crocombe
M. Crocombe
R. Leonard
R. Leonard
T. Crama
T. Crama
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
Z. Sturge
Z. Sturge
M. Luongo
↓
M. Luongo
B. Mitchell
B. Mitchell
F. Azeez
⚽ ↓
F. Azeez
W. Smallbone
W. Smallbone
T. Ballo
↓
T. Ballo
M. Ivanovic
⚽ ↓
M. Ivanovic
QPR 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Nardi
G
3
J. Dunne
D
4
L. Morrison
↓ 54'
D
5
S. Cook
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
🟨 55'
D
20
H. Vale
↓ 54'
M
40
J. Varane
↓ 72'
M
24
N. Madsen
M
11
P. Smyth
↓ 61' 🟨 59'
M
22
R. Kone
F
12
M. Frey
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
↑ 54'
D
8
S. Field
M
15
I. Hayden
M
21
K. Morgan
↑ 72'
D
14
K. Saito
🎯 85' ↑ 61'
F
7
K. Dembele
↑ 54'
M
16
R. Burrell
⚽ 85' ↑ 61'
F
26
R. Kolli
F
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
15
M. Crocombe
G
18
R. Leonard
🟨 33'
D
4
T. Crama
D
5
J. Cooper
🟨 39'
D
3
Z. Sturge
D
21
M. Luongo
↓ 15'
M
8
B. Mitchell
M
11
F. Azeez
⚽ 36' ↓ 75'
M
39
W. Smallbone
M
7
T. Ballo
↓ 74' 🟨 56'
M
9
M. Ivanovic
⚽ 45' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
43
J. Coleman
G
6
C. Taylor
D
10
C. Neghli
↑ 75'
F
14
A. Doughty
↑ 74' 🟨 90+5'
M
17
M. Langstaff
↑ 80'
F
22
A. Emakhu
F
23
J. Bryan
D
24
C. De Norre
↑ 15'
M
25
L. Cundle
↑ 79'
M
Last matches: QPR
15.08.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Millwall
Antwerp
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
H2H: QPR vs Millwall
08.08.26
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Millwall
QPR
2
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
01.02.25
H2H
Millwall
QPR
2
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
20.01.24
H2H
QPR
Millwall
2
0
W
26.12.23
H2H
Millwall
QPR
2
0
L
11.02.23
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
14.09.22
H2H
Millwall
QPR
0
2
W
15.02.22
H2H
Millwall
QPR
2
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
17.03.21
H2H
QPR
Millwall
3
2
W
08.12.20
H2H
Millwall
QPR
1
1
D
18.07.20
H2H
QPR
Millwall
4
3
W
21.09.19
H2H
Millwall
QPR
1
2
W
Last matches: QPR
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
H2H at home: QPR
08.08.26
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
18.10.25
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
20.01.24
H2H
QPR
Millwall
2
0
W
11.02.23
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
07.08.21
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
17.03.21
H2H
QPR
Millwall
3
2
W
18.07.20
H2H
QPR
Millwall
4
3
W
Last matches: Millwall
15.08.26
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Bromley
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Stevenage
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
H2H away: Millwall
08.08.26
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
18.10.25
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
20.01.24
H2H
QPR
Millwall
2
0
L
11.02.23
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
2
W
07.08.21
H2H
QPR
Millwall
1
1
D
17.03.21
H2H
QPR
Millwall
3
2
L
18.07.20
H2H
QPR
Millwall
4
3
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall Away
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Home
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation