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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 07:30
Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center

Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Youth Island Win 69.7%
Draw 18.7%
Yunnan Yukun Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island1.52
Yunnan Yukun1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WWDLW
32 GF / 40 GA
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WLDWL
61 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
2.03
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
17
BTTS Yes
22
10
Over 2.5
24
3.36
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 30 matches
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 30 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Statistic Yunnan Yukun
8 Wins 11
15 Draws 7
7 Losses 12
32 Goals For 61
40 Goals Against 66
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 2.03
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
17 BTTS Yes 22
23 Over 1.5 27
10 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 4
3.36 Shots On Goal 5.18
10.96 Total Shots 15.43
4.25 Corners 5.07
44.3% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Youth Island expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Yunnan Yukun in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yunnan Yukun having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Yunnan Yukun. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Qingdao Youth Island have collected 38 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 14 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 31:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Davidson (7 goals), Nelson Luz (5 goals), Aziz (5 goals), with creative support from Nelson Luz (5 assists), Davidson (3 assists), Aziz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 38 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 55:58 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Oscar Taty Maritu (19 goals), Cléber (10 goals), Alexandru Ioniță (4 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Ioniță (12 assists), Oscar Taty Maritu (7 assists), Cléber (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 1 times, Yunnan Yukun won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Youth Island 4-2-3-1 / Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
H2H summary: Qingdao Youth Island wins 1, draws 1, Yunnan Yukun wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation