CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
02.08.2026 10:00
Guzhenkou University Sports Center
Referee: Haixin Li, China
Qingdao Youth Island
Match Timeline
Qingdao Jonoon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
14'
Song Nan
Qingdao Youth Island
40'
Peng Xinli · Assist: Dong Yu
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
45+1'
Gengrui Wang
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
46'
Nan Song ↔ N. Da Luz
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
46'
Jin Yangyang ↔ Liu Junshuai
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
55'
C. Strandberg ↔ Ngan Cheuk-Pan
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
63'
Long Song
Qingdao Jonoon
64'
S. Memisevic · Assist: Davidson
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
67'
Song Long ↔ Sun Zheng'ao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
67'
Lin Chuangyi ↔ Liu Xinyu
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
71'
Wang Gengrui ↔ He Longhai
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
71'
X. Zhang ↔ Meng Jingchao
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
75'
Suda Li
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
79'
Song Wenjie ↔ Yang Cong
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
80'
Dong Yu ↔ Lohman Elnizar
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
83'
Zheng'ao Sun
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
85'
Suda Li
Qingdao Jonoon
🟥
85'
Suda Li
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
87'
Peng Xinli ↔ Xie Alexander
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
90+2'
Junshuai Liu
Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Youth Island Win 83.9%
Draw 10.4%
Qingdao Jonoon Win 5.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island1.44
Qingdao Jonoon1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WWDLW
25 GF / 32 GA
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WLDWL
30 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
15
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
12
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 22 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 20 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Statistic Qingdao Jonoon
6 Wins 6
11 Draws 3
5 Losses 11
25 Goals For 30
32 Goals Against 38
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
15 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.1
10.85 Total Shots 12.5
4.45 Corners 4.4
43.8% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Youth Island expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Qingdao Jonoon in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Jonoon having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Qingdao Jonoon. Qingdao Jonoon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Qingdao Youth Island arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 28 points compared to Qingdao Jonoon in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 28 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, with a 24:29 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Nelson Luz (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

Qingdao Jonoon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 20 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:38, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Malcom Edjouma (3 goals), Song Wenjie (1 goals), Nemanja Anđelković (1 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (2 assists), Malcom Edjouma (1 assists), Senwen Luo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 3 times, Qingdao Jonoon won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Youth Island 5-4-1 / Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-2
H2H summary: Qingdao Youth Island wins 3, draws 3, Qingdao Jonoon wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation