CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
28.06.2026 10:00
Guzhenkou University Sports Center
Referee: Kai He, China
Qingdao Youth Island
Match Timeline
Hangzhou Greentown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. Zhang · Assist: Cheng Jin
Hangzhou Greentown
20'
Peng Xinli · Assist: A. Yakubu
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
43'
Xiuwei Zhang
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
46'
A. Zhang ↔ Liu Haofan
Hangzhou Greentown
49'
N. Da Luz · Assist: Davidson
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
61'
Wu Wei ↔ Zhang Jiaqi
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
61'
Xu Junchi ↔ Tong Lei
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
61'
M. Tolic ↔ F. Ning
Hangzhou Greentown
66'
N. Da Luz · Assist: Peng Xinli
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
70'
Wang Gengrui ↔ He Longhai
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
80'
S. Guarirapa ↔ Tao Qianglong
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
89'
Peng Xinli ↔ Meng Jingchao
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
90+3'
N. Da Luz ↔ A. Asqer
Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 38.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
38.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Youth Island Win 32.8%
Draw 28.8%
Hangzhou Greentown Win 38.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island1.3
Hangzhou Greentown1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WWDLW
18 GF / 26 GA
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WLDWL
23 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
12
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
10
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 17 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 17 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Statistic Hangzhou Greentown
3 Wins 6
10 Draws 5
4 Losses 6
18 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 28
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
3.33 Shots On Goal 5.07
10.4 Total Shots 13.93
4.33 Corners 5.6
43.2% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hangzhou Greentown. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Youth Island expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Hangzhou Greentown in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hangzhou Greentown having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Qingdao Youth Island have collected 18 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

Hangzhou Greentown sit 7 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Youth Island won 3 times, Hangzhou Greentown won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Qingdao Youth Island's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.2%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Youth Island 4-4-1-1 / Hangzhou Greentown 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Qingdao Youth Island wins 3, draws 0, Hangzhou Greentown wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 25 9 6 10 41:42 -1 28
L W D L L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 25 5 11 9 38:42 -4 21
D D W D L
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation