CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Referee: S. Liang
Qingdao Jonoon
Match Timeline
Yunnan Yukun
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Song Wenjie · Assist: Jin Yonghao
Qingdao Jonoon
19'
O. Taty Maritu · Assist: Ye Chugui
Yunnan Yukun
26'
Lin Chuangyi · Assist: Song Wenjie
Qingdao Jonoon
30'
Cleber · Assist: Caio Vinicius
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
36'
Suda Li
Qingdao Jonoon
40'
M. Edjouma
Qingdao Jonoon
45'
A. El Messaoudi · Assist: Song Wenjie
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
46'
Li Suda ↔ Song Long
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
52'
Caio Vinícius
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
61'
Yi Teng ↔ Zhang Chenliang
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
63'
Qiao Wang
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
63'
Luo Senwen ↔ Ngan Cheuk-Pan
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
63'
Song Wenjie ↔ Liu Xinyu
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
70'
Zhao Yuhao ↔ Tsui Wang-Kit
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
70'
Deng Hanwen ↔ Abdusalam Bunyamin
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
71'
Jin Yonghao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
73'
Wang Qiao ↔ Li Hailong
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
77'
A. El Messaoudi ↔ Liu Guobao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
85'
Ye Chugui ↔ Han Zilong
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
89'
Zichang Huang
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
90+2'
Pengfei Mu
Qingdao Jonoon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Jonoon Win 41.7%
Draw 12.3%
Yunnan Yukun Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Jonoon1.61
Yunnan Yukun1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WWDLW
22 GF / 25 GA
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
13
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 15 matches
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 17 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Statistic Yunnan Yukun
5 Wins 6
2 Draws 4
8 Losses 7
22 Goals For 32
25 Goals Against 31
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
10 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
3.8 Shots On Goal 5.13
11.8 Total Shots 14.13
4.67 Corners 4.27
45.1% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Yunnan Yukun's more proactive style and Qingdao Jonoon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Yunnan Yukun. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Jonoon expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Yunnan Yukun in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yunnan Yukun having the stronger overall control. Yunnan Yukun carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 21 points while Qingdao Jonoon sit 14 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

Qingdao Jonoon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 10 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 22:25, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 21 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 27:24 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Jonoon won 2 times, Yunnan Yukun won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Qingdao Jonoon's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Jonoon 4-2-3-1 / Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
H2H summary: Qingdao Jonoon wins 2, draws 0, Yunnan Yukun wins 2
Stats
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
7
2 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 15
2 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
374 Total passes 408
308 Passes accurate 339
2.15 expected_goals 2.57
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Qingdao Jonoon
Formation
Yunnan Yukun
Mu Pengfei
Mu Pengfei
Wang Qiao
Wang Qiao
Jin Yangyang
Jin Yangyang
N. Andjelkovic
N. Andjelkovic
Li Suda
Li Suda
A. El Messaoudi
A. El Messaoudi
Luo Senwen
Luo Senwen
M. Edjouma
M. Edjouma
Jin Yonghao
🎯
Jin Yonghao
Lin Chuangyi
Lin Chuangyi
Song Wenjie
🎯
Song Wenjie
Wang Zhifeng
Wang Zhifeng
Deng Hanwen
Deng Hanwen
Yi Teng
Yi Teng
Shi Ke
Shi Ke
Huang Zichang
Huang Zichang
Ye Chugui
🎯
Ye Chugui
Zhao Yuhao
Zhao Yuhao
Caio Vinicius
🎯
Caio Vinicius
A. Ionita II
A. Ionita II
Cleber
Cleber
O. Taty Maritu
O. Taty Maritu
Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
28
Mu Pengfei
🟨 90+2'
G
17
Wang Qiao
↓ 73' 🟨 63'
D
4
Jin Yangyang
D
26
N. Andjelkovic
D
29
Li Suda
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
D
11
A. El Messaoudi
⚽ 45' ↓ 77'
M
31
Luo Senwen
↓ 63'
M
6
M. Edjouma
⚽ 40'
M
34
Jin Yonghao
🎯 13' 🟨 71'
M
8
Lin Chuangyi
⚽ 26'
F
19
Song Wenjie
⚽ 13' 🎯 26' 🎯 45' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
Liu Jun
G
43
M. Jappar
G
23
Song Long
↑ 46'
D
14
Sun Zheng'ao
D
30
Che Shiwei
M
22
Yang Cong
F
16
Li Hailong
↑ 73'
D
24
Ngan Cheuk-Pan
↑ 63'
M
3
Liu Junshuai
D
9
Liu Xinyu
↑ 63'
F
21
Liu Guobao
↑ 77'
F
47
Zheng Cuanhui
M
Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
Wang Zhifeng
G
25
Deng Hanwen
↓ 70'
D
18
Yi Teng
↓ 61'
D
5
Shi Ke
D
19
Huang Zichang
🟨 89'
D
7
Ye Chugui
🎯 19' ↓ 85'
M
6
Zhao Yuhao
↓ 70'
M
34
Caio Vinicius
🎯 30' 🟨 52'
M
10
A. Ionita II
F
9
Cleber
⚽ 30'
F
11
O. Taty Maritu
⚽ 19'
F
Substitutes
1
Bao Yaxiong
G
24
Yu Jianxian
G
30
J. Saeter
27
Han Zilong
↑ 85'
M
3
Tsui Wang-Kit
↑ 70'
D
26
Zhang Chenliang
↑ 61'
D
17
Sun Xuelong
M
16
Zhang Xiangshuo
D
4
Li Songyi
D
15
Zhang Yufeng
M
36
Fei Ernanduo
F
39
Abdusalam Bunyamin
↑ 70'
Last matches: Qingdao Jonoon
14.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
05.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
30.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
3
L
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
20.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
2
4
L
10.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Wuhan Three Towns
3
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
4
1
W
22.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Henan Jianye
1
0
W
20.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Hangzhou Greentown
1
4
L
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
H2H: Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun
26.06.26
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
W
07.03.26
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
5
1
W
06.04.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
1
0
L
Last matches: Qingdao Jonoon
05.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
4
1
W
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Henan Jianye
1
0
W
20.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Hangzhou Greentown
1
4
L
H2H at home: Qingdao Jonoon
26.06.26
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
W
09.08.25
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
5
1
W
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
H2H away: Yunnan Yukun
26.06.26
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
L
09.08.25
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
5
1
L

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 38:17 21 42
D D W W L
2 18 7 7 4 22:20 2 28
D L W L W
3 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W L L W D
4 18 9 3 6 34:31 3 24
W L W L D
5 18 7 3 8 34:33 1 24
L W L D L
6 18 5 9 4 22:28 -6 24
L W W D W
7 17 7 5 5 29:23 6 21
W W W L D
8 18 7 4 7 26:31 -5 20
W L L W L
9 17 6 2 9 24:29 -5 20
W L W W W
10 18 6 2 10 25:31 -6 20
W L L W W
11 17 8 5 4 36:27 9 19
W W D L D
12 17 5 5 7 26:24 2 15
L W L D W
13 17 6 3 8 18:22 -4 15
L L L W W
14 18 6 3 9 29:31 -2 14
L D W L L
15 17 4 6 7 22:22 0 8
W L W D L
16 17 2 7 8 24:34 -10 8
L L D D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One