27.08.2026 16:00
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Referee: R. Saggi
Qarabag
Match Timeline
Twente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Ramiz Zerrouki
Twente
🟨
23'
Bruno Langa
Qarabag
🟨
58'
Samuel Lobato
Qarabag
⚽
59'
Kady Borges · Assist: M. Qurbanly
Qarabag
🔄
70'
M. Qurbanly ↔ C. Makreckis
Qarabag
🔄
70'
S. Lobato ↔ Pedro Bicalho
Qarabag
🔄
70'
S. Orjasaeter ↔ M. Pjaca
Twente
🔄
70'
R. Propper ↔ L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
Twente
🔄
76'
B. Langa ↔ Dani Bolt
Qarabag
⚽
79'
M. Pjaca · Assist: W. Weghorst
Twente
🔄
86'
Kady Borges ↔ J. Montiel
Qarabag
🟨
90+4'
Bence Várkonyi
Qarabag
🟨
90'
Marko Janković
Qarabag
🔄
90+5'
R. Nijstad ↔ A. Adelgaard
Twente
⚽
90'
M. Bruns · Assist: M. Pjaca
Twente
🔄
91'
D. Rots ↔ T. van den Belt
Twente
🟨
92'
Jaly Mouaddib
Qarabag
⚽
94'
W. Weghorst · Assist: D. Weidmann
Twente
🔄
97'
D. Weidmann ↔ M. Kjolo
Twente
🟨
106'
Marko Janković
Qarabag
🟥
106'
Marko Janković
Qarabag
🟨
106'
Wout Weghorst
Twente
🔄
109'
W. Weghorst ↔ F. Thorvaldsen
Twente
🔄
114'
B. Huseynov ↔ B. Mustafazada
Qarabag
🔄
114'
J. Mouaddib ↔ H. Cabrayilzada
Qarabag
⚽
114'
Y. Taha
Twente
🟨
116'
Younes Taha
Twente

Qarabag vs Twente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 35%
Draw 19.1%
Twente Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag1.68
Twente1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag Qarabag
WWDLW
26 GF / 10 GA
Twente Twente
WLDWL
29 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.07
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
3
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
1
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qarabag Qarabag 13 matches
Twente Twente 14 matches
Qarabag Statistic Twente
8 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
26 Goals For 29
10 Goals Against 17
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
3 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
1 Shots On Goal 5.86
1 Total Shots 15.86
2.14 Corners 5.43
24.9% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 1 times, Twente won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Qarabag's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / Twente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 1, draws 2, Twente wins 0

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
24 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
25 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
26 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
27 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
28 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
29 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
30 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
31 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
32 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
33 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
34 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
35 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
36 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)