18.02.2026 17:45
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Referee: E. Eskas
Qarabag
Match Timeline
Newcastle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
A. Gordon · Assist: D. Burn
Newcastle
⚽
8'
M. Thiaw · Assist: K. Trippier
Newcastle
🔄
22'
B. Mustafazada ↔ Dani Bolt
Qarabag
VAR
30'
Harvey Barnes
Newcastle
⚽
32'
A. Gordon
Newcastle
⚽
33'
A. Gordon
Newcastle
⚽
45'
A. Gordon
Newcastle
🔄
46'
Leandro Andrade ↔ B. Huseynov
Qarabag
⚽
54'
E. Cafarquliyev · Assist: A. Zoubir
Qarabag
VAR
56'
Elvin Jafarguliyev
Qarabag
🔄
68'
A. Gordon ↔ W. Osula
Newcastle
🔄
68'
A. Elanga ↔ J. Murphy
Newcastle
🔄
68'
J. Willock ↔ J. Ramsey
Newcastle
⚽
72'
J. Murphy
Newcastle
🟨
76'
Malick Thiaw
Newcastle
🔄
77'
K. Trippier ↔ Joelinton
Newcastle
🔄
85'
A. Zoubir ↔ E. Addai
Qarabag
🔄
85'
J. Montiel ↔ Kady Borges
Qarabag
🔄
87'
H. Barnes ↔ S. Neave
Newcastle
🔄
88'
C. Duran ↔ M. Qurbanly
Qarabag

Qarabag vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag1.72
Newcastle1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag Qarabag
WWDLW
28 GF / 26 GA
Newcastle Newcastle
WLDWL
59 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
8
BTTS Yes
22
10
Over 2.5
24
2.79
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qarabag Qarabag 14 matches
Newcastle Newcastle 36 matches
Qarabag Statistic Newcastle
8 Wins 15
1 Draws 9
5 Losses 12
28 Goals For 59
26 Goals Against 47
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
8 BTTS Yes 22
12 Over 1.5 29
10 Over 2.5 24
9 Over 3.5 14
4 Clean Sheets 11
2 Failed To Score 7
2.79 Shots On Goal 4.89
7.36 Total Shots 13.42
2.29 Corners 6.44
33.3% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 0 times, Newcastle won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Qarabag's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 0, draws 0, Newcastle wins 2

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)