Qarabag
Match Timeline
Ajax
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag1.97
Ajax1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag
WWDLW
23 GF / 14 GA
Ajax
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
6
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
12
2.45
Shots on Goal
4.95
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Qarabag
11 matches
Ajax
20 matches
| Qarabag | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 29 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.45 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 6.36 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 1.82 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 28.8% | Ball Possession | 55.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 0 times, Ajax won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Qarabag's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 0, draws 0, Ajax wins 2
Stats
Qarabag
Ajax
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Qarabag
Formation
Ajax
M. Kochalski
Matheus Silva
B. Mustafazada
K. Medina
E. Cafarquliyev
Pedro Bicalho
M. Jankovic
Leandro Andrade
A. Zoubir
E. Addai
C. Duran
V. Jaros
A. Gaaei
A. Bouwman
Y. Baas
L. Rosa
J. Mokio
K. Itakura
S. Steur
O. Gloukh
K. Dolberg
R. Moro
Qarabag
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
M. Kochalski
G
2
Matheus Silva
D
⚽ 47'
↓ 86'
13
B. Mustafazada
D
81
K. Medina
D
44
E. Cafarquliyev
D
↓ 86'
35
Pedro Bicalho
M
↓ 86'
8
M. Jankovic
M
🎯 10'
15
Leandro Andrade
M
↓ 59'
10
A. Zoubir
11
E. Addai
M
17
C. Duran
F
⚽ 10'
↓ 70'
Substitutes
1
S. Mahammadaliyev
G
97
F. Buntic
G
3
S. Mmaee
D
6
Chriso
M
7
N. Akhundzade
F
↑ 59'
9
J. Montiel
M
↑ 86'
18
Dani Bolt
D
↑ 86'
21
O. Kashchuk
M
↑ 70'
22
M. Qurbanly
F
27
T. Bayramov
D
↑ 86'
55
B. Huseynov
D
Ajax
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
V. Jaros
G
3
A. Gaaei
D
⚽ 83'
30
A. Bouwman
D
15
Y. Baas
D
🟨 45+1'
2
L. Rosa
D
24
J. Mokio
M
↓ 84'
4
K. Itakura
M
↓ 65'
48
S. Steur
M
🎯 39'
↓ 76'
10
O. Gloukh
F
⚽ 79'
⚽ 90'
9
K. Dolberg
F
⚽ 39'
↓ 65'
7
R. Moro
F
↓ 76'
Substitutes
12
J. Heerkens
G
22
R. Pasveer
G
5
O. Wijndal
D
6
Y. Regeer
M
↑ 65'
11
M. Godts
F
🎯 90'
↑ 76'
17
O. Edvardsen
F
18
D. Klaassen
M
↑ 76'
19
D. Konadu
F
🎯 83'
↑ 65'
21
B. van den Boomen
M
28
K. Fitz-Jim
M
↑ 84'
43
R. Bounida
F
53
M. van der Lans
D
Last matches: Qarabag
13.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
FC Kharkiv
2
6
L
27.06.26
Fri
Qarabag
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
2
3
L
18.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
6
L
28.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Liverpool
0
6
L
21.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
NK Osijek
3
1
W
12.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Neftchi
5
0
W
25.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Napoli
0
2
L
05.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Chelsea
2
2
D
22.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
Athletic Club
1
3
L
01.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
FC Copenhagen
2
0
W
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
H2H: Qarabag vs Ajax
10.12.25
H2H
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
L
24.10.24
H2H
Qarabag
Ajax
0
3
L
Last matches: Qarabag
13.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
FC Kharkiv
2
6
L
18.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
6
L
21.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
12.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Neftchi
5
0
W
05.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Chelsea
2
2
D
01.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
FC Copenhagen
2
0
W
27.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
2
3
L
12.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shkendija
5
1
W
30.07.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shelbourne
1
0
W
H2H at home: Qarabag
10.12.25
H2H
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
L
24.10.24
H2H
Qarabag
Ajax
0
3
L
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
22.10.25
UEF
Ajax
Chelsea
1
5
L
04.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
3
3
D
H2H away: Ajax
10.12.25
H2H
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
W
24.10.24
H2H
Qarabag
Ajax
0
3
W
Standings
UEFA Champions League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 19 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 14 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 18 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 15 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 14 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 11 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Qarabag
Home
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 9 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | -9 | 8 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 32 |
Ajax
Away
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 3 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)