10.12.2025 17:45
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Referee: R. Obrenovic
Qarabag
Match Timeline
Ajax
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
C. Duran · Assist: M. Jankovic
Qarabag
⚽
39'
K. Dolberg · Assist: S. Steur
Ajax
🟨
45+1'
Youri Baas
Ajax
⚽
47'
Matheus Silva
Qarabag
🔄
59'
Leandro Andrade ↔ N. Akhundzade
Qarabag
🔄
65'
K. Itakura ↔ Y. Regeer
Ajax
🔄
65'
K. Dolberg ↔ D. Konadu
Ajax
🔄
70'
C. Duran ↔ O. Kashchuk
Qarabag
🔄
76'
R. Moro ↔ M. Godts
Ajax
🔄
76'
S. Steur ↔ D. Klaassen
Ajax
⚽
79'
O. Gloukh
Ajax
⚽
83'
A. Gaaei · Assist: D. Konadu
Ajax
🔄
84'
J. Mokio ↔ K. Fitz-Jim
Ajax
🔄
86'
Pedro Bicalho ↔ J. Montiel
Qarabag
🔄
86'
Matheus Silva ↔ Dani Bolt
Qarabag
🔄
86'
E. Cafarquliyev ↔ T. Bayramov
Qarabag
⚽
90'
O. Gloukh · Assist: M. Godts
Ajax

Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Qarabag Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag1.97
Ajax1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qarabag Qarabag
WWDLW
23 GF / 14 GA
Ajax Ajax
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
6
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
12
2.45
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qarabag Qarabag 11 matches
Ajax Ajax 20 matches
Qarabag Statistic Ajax
7 Wins 7
1 Draws 5
3 Losses 8
23 Goals For 29
14 Goals Against 36
2.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
6 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 5
2.45 Shots On Goal 4.95
6.36 Total Shots 12.75
1.82 Corners 5.3
28.8% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Qarabag won 0 times, Ajax won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Qarabag's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Qarabag 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Qarabag wins 0, draws 0, Ajax wins 2

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32
Ajax Away
8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)