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VENEZUELA › PRIMERA DIVISIóN
17.10.2026 20:00

Puerto Cabello vs Monagas SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Puerto Cabello Win 57.9%
Draw 7.8%
Monagas SC Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puerto Cabello1.35
Monagas SC1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WWDLW
45 GF / 33 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
28 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.12
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
20
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 35 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 25 matches
Puerto Cabello Statistic Monagas SC
16 Wins 8
10 Draws 4
9 Losses 13
45 Goals For 28
33 Goals Against 36
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
20 BTTS Yes 13
27 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Puerto Cabello's more proactive style and Monagas SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Monagas SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Puerto Cabello expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Monagas SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Puerto Cabello have collected 36 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 31:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Monagas SC Analysis

So far, Monagas SC have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 25 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 26:35 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Puerto Cabello 4-3-3 / Monagas SC 4-2-3-1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 45:19 26 56
W W W W W
2 25 15 5 5 45:27 18 50
W W D L W
3 25 12 8 5 36:22 14 44
D L L L W
4 25 10 10 5 36:22 14 40
W D W W W
5 25 10 9 6 32:23 9 39
W W D L D
6 25 9 11 5 34:24 10 38
D L W D D
7 25 11 5 9 37:35 2 38
L D W W D
8 25 10 6 9 34:32 2 36
L D L W L
9 25 6 11 8 28:32 -4 29
W D L L W
10 25 8 4 13 28:36 -8 28
W D W W L
11 25 6 7 12 25:39 -14 25
L L L L D
12 25 7 4 14 30:50 -20 25
L D W D L
13 25 3 6 16 21:45 -24 15
L D L W L
14 25 3 5 17 21:46 -25 14
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2