Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Puerto Cabello Win 40.6%
Draw 12.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puerto Cabello1.22
Deportivo La Guaira1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WWDLW
37 GF / 28 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
43 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
17
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 28 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 32 matches
Puerto Cabello Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
13 Wins 12
7 Draws 13
8 Losses 7
37 Goals For 43
28 Goals Against 34
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
17 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 3.17
0 Total Shots 8.67
0 Corners 3.5
0% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo La Guaira. Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Puerto Cabello sit 8 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Puerto Cabello have collected 17 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 13 matches. The return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 15:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Cabello won 5 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Puerto Cabello's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Puerto Cabello 4-3-3 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3
H2H summary: Puerto Cabello wins 5, draws 7, Deportivo La Guaira wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 23 13 5 5 37:24 13 44
D L W W D
3 23 12 7 4 34:18 16 43
L L W D L
4 23 11 4 8 35:30 5 37
W W D D W
5 23 9 9 5 34:21 13 36
W W W L D
6 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
7 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
8 23 8 9 6 29:22 7 33
D L D D W
9 22 5 10 7 23:27 -4 25
L W D D D
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 24:34 -10 21
W L W L D
12 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 23 3 4 16 20:44 -24 13
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2