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27.10.2026 21:30
Complejo Deportivo Socialista

Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
84.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Puerto Cabello Win 56.8%
Draw 24.4%
Caracas FC Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puerto Cabello1.33
Caracas FC1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
W D W W D
9 GF / 6 GA
Caracas FC Caracas FC
L W W D L
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
22
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 37 matches
Caracas FC Caracas FC 27 matches
Puerto Cabello Statistic Caracas FC
17 Wins 7
11 Draws 11
9 Losses 9
50 Goals For 31
37 Goals Against 35
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
22 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Puerto Cabello's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Caracas FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Puerto Cabello expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Caracas FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Caracas FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

Puerto Cabello come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 40 points from 26 matches. The record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 35:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Caracas FC Analysis

So far, Caracas FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, while the 30:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Cabello won 1 times, Caracas FC won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Puerto Cabello's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Puerto Cabello 4-3-3 / Caracas FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puerto Cabello wins 1, draws 4, Caracas FC wins 0

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7 26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2